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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Strong hunch based upon swfe climo and trends among othwr guidance.
  2. I'd be fine with that, too. I like where I sit...probably no jp, but odds of zilch are very minute..
  3. Just get me any snow cover heading through the frigid lead into xmas week and I'm happy.
  4. Yea, I didn't bother analyzing day 7-8 soundings, but that vendor reflects thermals more accurately in snow maps.
  5. F5Weather doesn't incorporate sleet into the snowfall algorithm.
  6. You and I should hope its right, but I'm sceptical.
  7. Map is BS.....some rain and sleet involved east.
  8. Here is the mid level weenie band that Will is referring to, which is getting into my area on the 06z run (left) vs 00z (right)
  9. Oh, I know...tongue firmly in cheek.
  10. This evolution is more realstic to me than prior versions because its less s stream and more n stream.
  11. Best part...H5 closes off south of long island...mona lisa. The 10:1 chart will not do that banding justice. Little tucky, but clown range, anyway..
  12. Oh boy...sound the alarms on the Euro next Sunday into Monday...
  13. Its often right when aggressive with mid level warmth...
  14. NAM is usually most aggressive with mid level warmth....
  15. The indecies don't modulate weather, but they are man's attempt to quantify the complex pressure patterns that do. Pretty simple-
  16. Its not going to remain near neutral for long.
  17. I just meant that some blocking may help promote more phasing...
  18. Yes, absolutely. But the notion that substantial negative departures will be eradicated by the new year is dubious, at best.
  19. Yes, but I am only concerned with the northeast, so you need to understand the context. The storm track has favored the interior, but sne has been skunking NNE. ...inverse if last season's fortunes...fair? Perhaps not, but it is what it is.
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