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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Still more worried about timing of capture than whiff se.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Maybe just the Daryl Strawberry batch
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    They don't tend to be se of mid range IMO.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nah, I don't forecast like that.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just overcast here.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    30.7/25.3
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/01/modest-wintery-threats-to-ring-in-2021.html
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, GEM actually had that band through Claremont for a few runs.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll prob get an inch or two of snow/IP before a flip to rain...any glaze will be marginal.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I didn't say they did, Will did.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I think Kev does okay with a midling deal due to elevation.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am not worried about a whiff se per se......I am concerned about the surface not getting captured soon enough. There is a difference. I am sold on middling event...I think the track of the mid levels argues for that, QPF be damned. But I don't think this captures quickly enough for a big event.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Oh, really? Didn't know that....thought it was more about longitude.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    It was okay, if forgettable out this way...I had like 8", a bit of IP, then poof....dry slot.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Except for last time.....NW was correct in the 12/17 event.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    For those wondering, this confirms why I was not a fan of the NAM. It is NOT 12" or more like the crack clowns suggest.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly...it will take a near perfect RGEM like evolution for our area to get nailed, or else we get hosed again. I do not buy the retarded clown maps if we don't end up in the mid level banding.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly the issue...it ill probably happen to late for most of us. We'll see...just my hunch.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I agree. I'm not worried about OTS....larger concern is a later capture.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    More like 7" for me on the NAM FYI.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its because they have the right idea.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I need a later capture for big totals. I'm not relaying on a simple compromise with respect to how far nw deformation makes it...that is always farthest NW guidance, and then some.Look at last event....only model that had it far enough NW was GEM.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is my hope...later capture. I'd rather risk a graze than subsidence again. Not a popular opinion, I'm sure, but I won't start caring now.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't trust this event to deliver.
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