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For the record: Only Newark below. POR 1931. 8 summers had 100 in June as the warmest. Therefore the preponderance of 100 degree days did occur JA, generally not more than 2 days a month though a few big months which you can reference, especially for those that are using analog years. Eyeballing, the 1990s stand out a bit to me. METADATA may be important there which I did not check. ASOS install, locations etc. Bottom line this spells out the hottest days (not necessarily hottest summers). Don and others may be adding more. Thank you to the NWS collaboration developing XMACIS and to all the global researchers- modelers that develop and allow us view meteorological modeling. It is illuminating and can be useful perspective. You can figure out the columns for JJA Monthly Number of Days Max Temperature >= 100 for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 Max 0 2025 0 2025 0 2025 0 2025 0 2025 2 2021 5 2022 4 1953 1 1993 0 2024 0 2024 0 2024 9 1993 1931 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1932 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1933 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1934 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1935 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1936 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1937 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1938 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1939 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1940 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1941 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1942 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1943 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1944 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 4 1945 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1946 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1947 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1948 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1949 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 0 0 0 0 8 1950 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1951 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1952 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1953 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 1 0 0 0 6 1954 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1955 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 1956 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1957 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1958 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1959 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1960 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1961 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1962 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1963 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1964 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1965 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1966 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 5 1967 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1968 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1969 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1970 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1971 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1972 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1973 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1974 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1975 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1976 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1978 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1979 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1980 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1981 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1982 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1983 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1984 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1985 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1986 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1987 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1988 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 5 1989 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1990 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1991 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1992 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1993 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 3 1 0 0 0 9 1994 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1995 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1996 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1997 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1998 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1999 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 2000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2001 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 2002 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 2003 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2004 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2005 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 2006 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 2007 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2008 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2010 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 2011 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 4 2012 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 2013 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2014 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2015 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2018 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2019 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2020 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2021 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2022 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 0 0 0 0 6 2023 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2024 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2025 0 0 0 0 0 0 M M M M M M 0

They forget how summer works here now. Once it sets in, it’s in. There will be mild downs here and there, but the odds for a low dew JJA are pretty slim.

NWS point-clicks GFS based?

Can you please post heat maps? for some reason I can't do it myself.. I only see average to slightly above ones.

Newark had 100° heat last June in NJ on the 21st. But didn’t make it to Long Island. This was followed up by more 100° heat in August. Brooklyn and Queens made it to 100° in July 2022 along with NJ. June 2021 featured 100° heat throughout NJ, Brooklyn and Queens. Monthly Highest Max Temperature for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 2024 100 99 100 100 2023 91 96 91 96 2022 96 102 101 102 2021 103 97 99 103

I bet that verifies a bit higher for BDL , if we get a clean ridge much higher..

This is some real crazy weather these days

NWS has been horrific lately

we almost stayed in the 50s yesterday Tony =\

with a ridge that strong shouldn't it connect to the offshore ridge and provide a continental westerly flow?

I will monitor... I certainly wouldn't be advising an emergency manager. I'm not an analog forecaster.

ACATT never fails to disappoint . As foolish as they make themselves look

Its all or more about the position center of the ridge, we have had record ridges in the past 10 years >600DM's.

Not much sun either, which is what I was referencing

no 100 degree heat in Brooklyn or Manhattan either lol. Only in northern Queens which is influenced by high traffic density.

I already looked at models this morning..do you need me to post every map for you? would you like me to make breakfast for you or can you do that yourself?

Yes these highs have been much weaker in the last few years than they were in the 90s when they overpowered the ocean.

You have to go back to 2015 for consecutive highs in the 60s for most of the board, that was the first week of Jue. June 2012 had a 3 day streak similar to this wthigh high near or below 70 around the same time.

Hi

climo plus historical analogs, it rarely ever happens that the hottest weather is in June, plus the very important fact that a quick change to hot weather in the latter third of June much more often than not portends to a very hot summer and the hottest weather coming in July.

While models have done well with the 6-10 day warm signals in recent years, the wind direction specifics haven’t been figured out until we have been under 120 hrs. We have had numerous 6-10 day model forecasts in recent years with deep westerly flow and 100° heat forecast onto Long Island. But as we got closer to forecast time, more onshore flow shows up. So the areas in NJ away from the sea breeze have seen the strongest heat. This is why JFK to ISP haven’t had any 100° heat since 2013. All the recent 100° heat since 2013 has been restricted to NJ and Brooklyn and Queens.

NWS Point and clicks ? I mean is that what’s you’ve come to? Sad to see this happening

He's reconfigured Southern New England so many times Jersey might now be part of it.

That will come down a bit maybe mon and Tuesday will be correct day 9 and 10 but after we cool closer to average or slightly above

No sure why you say that? Explain? I dont see it in the means which I know are not necessarily reliable but all I can go on. I tend to see this coming heat as significant but July/August? Don might something more to say then what I'm seeing, which is reoccurring troughing in the east and maybe more ridging developing in the Atlantic, implying bouts of wetness alternating with humid heat. Typical above normal temp summer....but in the means but I cant think of 100. Modeling can be overexhuberant beyond a week. So I plan shorter term. Tuesday doubleheader softball hopefully gets in before the next bigger rain, and then the 24th, we may need to plan second game midday starting with a shorter count to avoid cooking our 70 and 80 year old players. That's how I plan.