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EWR: 97 (1993) now this is what a real hot summer is like....something we haven't seen in a long time.

Hope we get some rain. So far, this period of storminess has disappointed

as usual in our new climate, this isn't the 1950s.

101 degrees with a dew point of 45 would be far more comfortable and represent a lower power load.

I predicted this shit days ago.

Yes as usual in our new climate, without the 100+ highs.

Takes all the fun out of it when there nothing to alter in the quote...I felt dirty.

It's a tropical rain forest here, I have so much overgrowth going on here that I'm spraying defoliant to kill everything. I have no time to cut this forest I have going on in my front yard, so spraying it is.

mean temps have no real connection to extreme highs, during the summer mean temps are mostly driven by elevated mins, we have the same thing going on here. I can prove this, we have seen an overgrowth of foliage with the wetter climate we have been in. This isn't merely about them neglecting trimming the foliage, it's about this kind of overgrowth not being in existence in the 1930s-1950s when we had many more extremely hot days and a much drier climate. The pictures you posted prove it-- during that earlier era we did not have as much foliage as we have now in our parks and that's because it was much drier back then, which is also why the extreme heat was much hotter Sure, the places you listed just now are hotter, but it's because they exist in an artificial concrete climate without much in the way of trees. Coast or no coast, there is no way we would EVER match the extreme heat of the 1930s-1950s except for brief intervals like the 1990s and the early 2010s, unless we switch back to a much drier climate.

well that was not phrased properly

If he sees that he will be...thing about Chuck is that he's lethally dispassionate.

Slow to clear

Wiz Gone Wild

This isn't the same Chuck that we had in 2006-07 *warmest winter ever* LOL

mean temps have no real connection to extreme highs, during the summer mean temps are mostly driven by elevated mins, we have the same thing going on here.

I foresee me working Ray's weenie OT over the next two days Finally some exciting severe to post about

Good bit of sun this morning

There is strong telconnector and multi-ensemble convergence on a heavy round of psychosis.

Yeah not sure what is playing into the HRRR but we have decent height falls tomorrow, increasing dynamics, steep lapse rates, and moderate instability. I know the main forcing/cold front is west...but more times than not our convection develops with the pre-frontal trough and not the actual cold front. But I would not be shocked to see the HRRR ramp up as we get closer. Same thing with the mid-western states...HRRR I think underplaying, especially Mississippi Valley

this may be the last day i wear my hoodie for a while..

Maybe a bit of chocoloate sauce dripped on the nape?

Agreed. I've noticed over the last couple of months or so that the meso models have under forecast strong/severe thunderstorm events for Southern New England. Models then start playing catch-up about 12 hours before the event start & continue playing catch-up right up to game time.

Yeah... I'm kind of Doctor J vs Mr Hyde when comes to heat. I'm utterly fascinated by the "big heat" synoptics, just like I am for big winter events. I don't like to live in them. SO ...admittedly. That said, it is not like rooting them on, tho. I believe I'm morally okay with it, because as a science curiosity, that's where I'm interesting in them is. I'm not like Kevin, who roots on the dystopian horror of people cooking in the streets from the confines of his well-A.C.ed, model interpretive "boudoir". They have particular identities. Especially in these recent eras of the ongoing CC/attribution stuff, when they are occurring with greater frequency all over the world, and are dangerous ... ( more deaths than all other weather event types combined), there's definitely value in learning how to use the guidance. etc etc.

Storm mode will evolve to be linear quickly and flow aloft is predominately unidirectional, however, enough turning of the llvl winds that there is certainly a risk for an embedded tornado or two, particularly within the Hudson and Connecticut Valley where the backed flow will be enhanced some. Also looks like a bit of a theta-e ridge which will locally enhanced llvl CAPE and decent sfc vorticity. The line arrives coinciding with an increase of the LLJ as well and models want to hang around the steeper lapse rates. If we can get discrete cells ahead of the line (big if) there will be risk for multiple tornadoes.