jaxjagman Posted September 13 Share Posted September 13 42 minutes ago, KakashiHatake2000 said: Speaking of cooldowns could be one or temporary one maybe for northern portion of east tn I’m guessing is cold air damming https://x.com/mikewitchertv/status/2099181368206819389?s=46&t=nTdsbQZkQMPkUI3zGjAXJg . Meh,the ridge is already setting in and looks to hold firm through out the next work week ATM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted September 13 Share Posted September 13 Oh okay gotcha . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted September 13 Share Posted September 13 Maybe we are seeing a pattern change at least for a brief period upcoming,the IO is clearing out and the RRM's for the most part shows the MJO going into the WH next week.Some of the RRMS are going into the IO.This could cause the NINO background to get taking out and we do get a reprieve finally for a short time,believe it when i see it,already see the models showing a phoon headed towards S/Japan in the long range,this hasnt worked out very well in this strong NINIO and the phoon goes into East China and builds a ridge off SE Japan and we warm again 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted September 15 Share Posted September 15 Looks like there is or could be a potiential pattern change finally according to NWS Nashville we will see but not getting my hopes up yet I heard the models kept on moving the pattern change further down the road . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted September 15 Share Posted September 15 https://x.com/nwsneworleans/status/2099932997273129304?s=46&t=nTdsbQZkQMPkUI3zGjAXJg Also backside weak cold front from nws New Orleans . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted September 16 Author Share Posted September 16 The largest/highest heat dome on the entire planet is centered over Tennessee according to Ryan Hall. We edged out the one over the Sahara Desert. I see forecasts calling for a cool down after next Tuesday. The 12z Euro came on board after the 0z was wall to wall warmth. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 20 hours ago, John1122 said: The largest/highest heat dome on the entire planet is centered over Tennessee according to Ryan Hall. We edged out the one over the Sahara Desert. I see forecasts calling for a cool down after next Tuesday. The 12z Euro came on board after the 0z was wall to wall warmth. It's the big Heat Dome that plagued the Southern Plains all Summer. Question is, will it finally dissolve, shift Eastward out into the Atlantic, become a Bermuda High, weaken then rebound etc.. The back Westward shift.is unlikely as the STJ should barrel into the SW. Come Winter, if there's any semblance of this Feature,whether stll alive(low odds) or ressurrected, it could have quite an effect, especially if it becomes formidable then. IF it were to it would probably setup in the SW Atlantic due to the STJ forcing. Where out there would determine our Pattern Outcome; out by the Sargasso Sea would be great if you want Snow. Further West mild and probably wet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 Guidance today is moving to the quicker transition and breakdown of the heat ridge. Ensembles and deterministic models generally have a pretty big change coming. Even the Apple app has me in the 70s next week for highs. The real feels will be almost 25 degrees cooler than this week’s 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 https://www.facebook.com/WKRNDavisNolan/posts/pfbid0dPn5tsocRuz5JK1VgL9FgdhRUQvgX2VisfbxureuofMDEvLcfEsijeuUPjhNAVqfl yep Davis Nolan among other meteorologists are forecasting a cool down coming towards the middle to end of next week looks refreshing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 The record streak of consecutive 90+ degree days is going to top 50. We hit 100 again today, breaking a 130 year old record. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 The rapid onset of drought here in middle is concerning. Especially going into October. Drought with the leaves falling is a bad recipe. This year has been the year of extremes so far. Good grief. The climate is sure changing or Mother Nature is just po’d at humanity. I am over this endless summer. Give me long sleeves & sweatshirts! PLEASE! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 Big changes still on tap for next week. Most modeling and ensembles support that continuing for at least a couple of weeks. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted Saturday at 08:42 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:42 PM Let’s go perfect timing for fall equinox or solstice too . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted Tuesday at 01:38 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:38 PM Welcome heat relief has arrived!!!! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Tuesday at 05:31 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 05:31 PM Couple of rounds of storms last night and temps are in the 70s currently. Finally close to normal. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted Tuesday at 06:17 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:17 PM Not much rain,but 74 at 1PM is a relief 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted Wednesday at 01:27 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:27 PM The 6z GFS is looking like it may bring the first frosts to higher elevations in the longer range - d10-15 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted Wednesday at 07:27 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:27 PM For future reference when we come back to this historic warm period, the feature which broke its back is a Nor'easter. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted yesterday at 02:39 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:39 AM Picked up over 2 inches of Rain (2.25) here from 6 to 8 this Evening. Prior to this, I had recorded only .98 for the Month. Western Lee County has done well with 5-6 inches for the Month. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
*Flash* Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Until further notice, Lucy has the football; however, I'm curious how that second week in October is going to pan out. More jet buckles please. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago We had a crazy gully washer on Wednesday. My PWS peaked out a 8.12"/hr. That is the highest rate I've ever recorded. It rained 2.18 inches in just over 20 minutes. Every detention pond in our subdivision was using the emergency spillways. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted 50 minutes ago Share Posted 50 minutes ago 5 hours ago, *Flash* said: Until further notice, Lucy has the football; however, I'm curious how that second week in October is going to pan out. More jet buckles please. We should be headed towards seeing a wet pattern upcoming. CFS shows some strong EWB'S into the IO,this would seemingly be caused by the MJO and could be stucked into the IO for a time,least thats what it looks right right now,we shouldnt be so dry right now regardless 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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