Winter 26-27’ Speculation Thread

[jaxjagman]

Least we are starting to see the the PDO changing for that matter as well so is the IOD,IOD should be warmer in a strong NINO

[Matthew70]

On 10/6/2026 at 3:45 PM, Carvers Gap said:

Sorry for the long pause.  My mom passed away last week after a long illness.  She fought the good fight, and ran a great race.  She bought me my first weather radio when I was a kid.  So, just kind of regrouping mentally.

Both the Oct CANSIPS and Euro seasonals are depicting a DJF(March as well) Hudson Bay block.  That block can really go either way here in the subforum.  Some winters that locks in a pretty cold pattern, and other times(as Jeff has note), we see zonal result.  That is a tricky, trick block.  It is great for storm tracks, but iffy for cold supply.

BN heights are found over the SE for DJFM w/ deepening results found in February.  Classic El Nino.  That could be snowy and cold, rainy and meh, or a combo of both.  Cold sources could be lacking in Canada.

Carver.  Very sorry for your loss. 

[Golf757075]

I hope we don't have a big strong low in the Pacific, which is typical in stronger Niños. Hoping its further west to allow occasional cold shots to come south. The -PDO is interesting if it persists, because typically its in sync with Niños. Also, the climate models are just tools. I know most take them with a grain of salt, but am hoping its colder here than they currently indicate. El niños haven't been too kind to us lately, but niñas have done better imo.