Spring 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread

[Scottie16]

Storms moving weird again today. Generally E-W in the Central Valley whilst storms along the southern valley are moving S-N. Very cool to watch on radar.


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[John1122]

Picked up .4 from a small but heavy shower moving east to west.  Lots of loud thunder and cloud to ground lightning in it. 

[John1122]

Another very heavy shower with lots of lightning and thunder is moving across from East to West. It doesn't seem common to get meandering upper level lows in summer but it's definitely a drought killer. 

[John1122]

That one put down another half an inch here. It was even heavier south of me as it moved through LaFollette and Jacksboro.  

[dwagner88]

Total miss today. 90% pops too.

[John1122]

1 hour ago, dwagner88 said:

Total miss today. 90% pops too.

That's a shame. I thought you were getting hit much more than you did on Friday and Saturday. 

[Carvers Gap]

The "worst" of summer was partially in April!  We had all of those highs in the mid and upper 80s.   Since then, we have returned to VERY HIGH humidities to accompany relatively normal summer temps.  When I go running in the mornings, it is like someone dumped a bucket of water over me by the time I am done.  

Still working on my winter ideas.  This winter is a lean warm, but truly a crap shoot.  I tend to think we start slow w/ kind of a meh December with gradually increasing chances.  Late Jan to mid Feb seems like the sweet spot regardless of ENSO.  I see no real change to that this winter.  Somebody from the Plateau eastward could get hammered by an Apps runner or coastal this winter.

As for fall, that season just seems hot lately.  I do think Nino should temper the excessive heat and maybe bring normal fall temps by late September.  Sometimes Nino winters kind of have a false start during October.  The heat out West seems to suggest the Nino pattern has begun.  Might be a good year for NE ski resorts?

[John1122]

A true frog strangler is growing over me currently. No real movement. Just expanding in size. 

[dwagner88]

Just can't seem to get the storms around my area for some reason. There have been storms around daily for a couple of weeks now, but I've really had very little rain. And WAY less thunder than a normal July. This should be the wettest month of the year here. Even today we are stuck under the anvil of the large storm cluster over northern Atlanta. It's stabilizing us without giving us any rain.

[Scottie16]

A true frog strangler is growing over me currently. No real movement. Just expanding in size. 

Same for sweetwater. Keeps expanding. Radar shows 1.7 in the past hour and I expect that to go up tremendously.


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[Scottie16]

Seems like once these storms roll over the mountains it really amplifies them at least for Monroe county.


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