2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

 

To clarify...I meant 1982-83 was the absolute shittiest winter of the bunch here. I grew up with my winter-hating dad saying he remembers how "great" that winter was. My mom (who loves winter) was pregnant with me and said she remembers feeling sick at Christmas Eve midnight mass because it was warm in her coat. It was pretty much on its way to being the least snowy winter on record, with only 9" falling thru March 19, but then two spring snowstorms (Mar 21 & Apr 17) added 11" so the winter finished at 20". No winter since has seen that little snowfall. Also, it still stands as the least snowy astrononomical winter on record with only 5.8" falling Dec 21-Mar 19.

1957-58 and 1965-66 at least had some cold, white stretches but were also absolutely atrocious snow years. In fact, both finished UNDER 20" of snowfall. I only give them the nod above 1982-83 since they had some cold & white stretches in winter. With the abysmal snowfall, as you would imagine, the snowdepth was only 2-3" during these wintry stretches

1997-98 and 2023-24 sucked overall, but were better than 1957-58, 1965-66, and 1982-83.

1972-73, 1987-88, 1991-92, 2015-16 all had some fun winter stretches and while none of them were great winters Id take any of them in a heartbeat over the others.

Yea, I know what you mean. 1957 and 1965 were very good here, but they were kind of borderline strong versus super. 

[Stormchaserchuck1]

57-58 and 65-66 also didn't have a strong east-based orientation. Since 1948, only 5 events: 72-73, 82-83, 97-98, 15-16, and 23-24 have been basin wide Super Nino. Kind of interesting that this will be the 3rd one in 12 years, in the midst of many weaker La Nina's. 

[paulm]

We are starting to see guidance latch onto a highly anomalous ridge over Canada going into next weekend, which is a key part of the pattern we saw in May/June 2023 as well. It is plausible wildfire season could start to take off in Canada as a result.

[snowman19]

[michsnowfreak]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, I know what you mean. 1957 and 1965 were very good here, but they were kind of borderline strong versus super. 

Yikes its pretty much the best ones here are the worst ones there and vice versa.

[40/70 Benchmark]

13 minutes ago, paulm said:

We are starting to see guidance latch onto a highly anomalous ridge over Canada going into next weekend, which is a key part of the pattern we saw in May/June 2023 as well. It is plausible wildfire season could start to take off in Canada as a result.

@bluewaveIs that you?

[40/70 Benchmark]

13 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

Yikes its pretty much the best ones here are the worst ones there and vice versa.

Yea, precipitation is the problem from your area into NNE....temps pretty near equally as correlated to snowfall here...close. Slight hedged towards precip from my area near the NH border and on up.