GBOVolz Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 I will also credit the WVLT met, as he said expect snow showers in the extreme cold that isn't showing up on models. This will be one of those situations where the dgz is probably around 2500 feet and up so snow will fall and it will seem to come from nothing on radar. Which high res mods use the radar to help predict precipitation? Just wondering if snow under the radar gets missed by the HRRR and potentially other mods. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 29 Author Share Posted January 29 3 minutes ago, bearman said: Where did you get these graphics from? I can not find them anywhere? They were made available to emergency management offices. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 29 Author Share Posted January 29 4 minutes ago, GBOVolz said: Which high res mods use the radar to help predict precipitation? Just wondering if snow under the radar gets missed by the HRRR and potentially other mods. . I believe the HRRR and RAP do, possibly the Rufus and FV3 too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 12 minutes ago, John1122 said: The GFS is slightly down with totals. Basically today the low end models have went up, the high end have came down, and they are meeting in the middle. Yeah, looks like it edged South a tad as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tucker1027 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GBOVolz Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 I enjoy looking at Mt Leconte’s NWS forecast…. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GBOVolz Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 SREF plums at TYS went from 2ish inches from 9z to 4ish inches at 15z. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 29 Author Share Posted January 29 The AI GFS has more precip futher west than the Op GFS, but less precip along the mountain counties than the Op GFS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GBOVolz Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 The AI GFS has more precip futher west than the Op GFS, but less precip along the mountain counties than the Op GFS. Spreading the wealth . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 29 Author Share Posted January 29 Now WVLT says my area will get a dusting. So I take back everything positive I said about him. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GBOVolz Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 The AI GFS has more precip futher west than the Op GFS, but less precip along the mountain counties than the Op GFS. What’s the GFS hybrid AI? This is not ratioed…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GBOVolz Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Now WVLT says my area will get a dusting. So I take back everything positive I said about him. Is it possible for you to get extra lift from a E/SE wind?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 29 Author Share Posted January 29 8 minutes ago, GBOVolz said: What’s the GFS hybrid AI? This is not ratioed… . That looks like an AI version of the GFS ensemble. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 29 Author Share Posted January 29 6 minutes ago, GBOVolz said: Is it possible for you to get extra lift from a E/SE wind? . It's possible, there's a mountain to my SE that rises about 900 feet above me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 24 minutes ago, John1122 said: The AI GFS has more precip futher west than the Op GFS, but less precip along the mountain counties than the Op GFS. Hopefully it'll outperform it's older brother. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricaneguy Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Forum is a little slower than I thought. Everyone still locking in I hope? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Math/Met Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1 minute ago, Hurricaneguy said: Forum is a little slower than I thought. Everyone still locking in I hope? Crazy things can happen, but Greene Co is in a pretty good spot right now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 29 Author Share Posted January 29 The Euro looks good. Headed to a basketball game. No school but the tournament rolls on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ladyjmayo Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1 hour ago, bearman said: Where did you get these graphics from? I can not find them anywhere? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
*Flash* Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 17 minutes ago, Hurricaneguy said: Forum is a little slower than I thought. Everyone still locking in I hope? I mean, it’s an east TN special. The threat is far from forum wide. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GBOVolz Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Well… wasn’t expecting this…still going conservative until tomorrow morning i guess . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 23 minutes ago, Hurricaneguy said: Forum is a little slower than I thought. Everyone still locking in I hope? I think we all have been watching this rodeo for quite a while and we all know the things that can go right anf wrong and there is just so much you can say. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 2 minutes ago, GBOVolz said: Well… wasn’t expecting this…still going conservative until tomorrow morning i guess . Case in point, however they always do this unless they don't. As we all know we live in days that nothing makes much sense. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 29 Author Share Posted January 29 The snow map MRX released is the 18z NBM. It doesn't have today's 06z, 12z, or 18z Euro in it. It has the 0z data. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GBOVolz Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Case in point, however they always do this unless they don't. As we all know we live in days that nothing makes much sense.At 20/1, i gotta think we get more than .1 tenth of an inch of liquid. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 3 minutes ago, John1122 said: The snow map MRX released is the 18z NBM. It doesn't have today's 06z, 12z, or 18z Euro in it. It has the 0z data. Then why put it out? Is this because of their budget cuts? Everything runs late? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatheriscool Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 30 minutes ago, Hurricaneguy said: Forum is a little slower than I thought. Everyone still locking in I hope? This system primarily looks to be a East TN system so I am out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 3 minutes ago, John1122 said: The snow map MRX released is the 18z NBM. It doesn't have today's 06z, 12z, or 18z Euro in it. It has the 0z data. Yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GBOVolz Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Forum is a little slower than I thought. Everyone still locking in I hope? Well, we are in that no man’s land with the models and anticipating the start of this. pretty much it is what it is at this point and there’s not gonna be much mod change so we’re in a holding pattern. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricaneguy Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Anyone got the EastTN weatherbell or pivotal 18z euro snowfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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