BooneWX Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago GEFS is west even more. Webb says he doesn’t buy any eastern NC solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago I'm kinda torn on it. 18Z EPS looks like crap and didn't trend west like I hoped. The setup does scream NW trend but last year it didn't happen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, wncsnow said: I'm kinda torn on it. 18Z EPS looks like crap and didn't trend west like I hoped. The setup does scream NW trend but last year it didn't happen I feel like last years setup was super screwed because we watched an energy transfer happen. This one shouldn’t have that problem and is probably going to be more prone to a shift west, especially with heights rising over the Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago If I was down east, I’d be really worried about cold air advection since there’s no anchored high in place. Idk if there’s any group on this website that could describe the pain of waiting for cold to slip over the mountains more than us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Plenty of other Mets disagreeing with Webb on that though. NW trend is possible for sure, but I’m not sure how much given the overall progressiveness of the pattern, and some of us need a lot. Seeing 0 members with qpf at my location was a gut check. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, SnowDawg said: Plenty of other Mets disagreeing with Webb on that though. NW trend is possible for sure, but I’m not sure how much given the overall progressiveness of the pattern, and some of us need a lot. Seeing 0 members with qpf at my location was a gut check. And by no means am I disagreeing. I do think, just looking at the upper levels, that trough orientation, rising heights to the east and waa overrunning cold air with an upslope component makes me optimistic for at least western Nc. Idk if it’s as much that I think it trends nw with time as I think we’re likely to see a much more expansive precip shield when all is said and done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 38 minutes ago, BooneWX said: And by no means am I disagreeing. I do think, just looking at the upper levels, that trough orientation, rising heights to the east and waa overrunning cold air with an upslope component makes me optimistic for at least western Nc. Idk if it’s as much that I think it trends nw with time as I think we’re likely to see a much more expansive precip shield when all is said and done. Yeah I don’t actually even disagree with this but these last 4 winters has zapped my ability to have any optimism I think. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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