RitualOfTheTrout Posted yesterday at 06:20 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:20 PM 1 hour ago, Burghblizz said: GFS taken literally is worse (lighter snows), but in reality much better as far as breathing room. Considerably south. Right now I think we are right where we want to be. Some models North, some to the South. Don't really want any more South on that GFS op run though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted yesterday at 06:23 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:23 PM GFS is better yes. Euro has something to watch, but its very weak in comparison to the other models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted yesterday at 06:37 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:37 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted yesterday at 06:50 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:50 PM Just saw the EPS indiv members. Not even worth posting them. Only like 3-4 have decent storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted yesterday at 07:24 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:24 PM 33 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Just saw the EPS indiv members. Not even worth posting them. Only like 3-4 have decent storm. Hence why im not getting too invested. If the signal is there this weekend then ill start really paying attention. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted yesterday at 07:26 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:26 PM With all that being said this is a good signal on the GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted yesterday at 07:39 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:39 PM 1 minute ago, Rd9108 said: With all that being said this is a good signal on the GEFS. Show me that on Sunday and I'll maybe believe it. I'm not saying this is our last chance, but it could be. Extended warm up likely after Monday. Looked like GFS was brewing something end of the run on 13th after the warm up but way too far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted yesterday at 08:18 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:18 PM With all that being said this is a good signal on the GEFS. I’ll take this all day. This many days out, I like where we sit with the ensembles. I didn’t look at the EPS. Similar?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 1 hour ago, colonel717 said: Just saw the EPS indiv members. Not even worth posting them. Only like 3-4 have decent storm. That's not great. My quick look at things, seems like weaker / further south is would be the lean based on 12z. Still plenty of time for that to change though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 1 hour ago, MikeB_01 said: I’ll take this all day. This many days out, I like where we sit with the ensembles. I didn’t look at the EPS. Similar? . Not at all. As I said above, only 3-4 of the members out of 50 show 6+ inches of snow. While this shows depth mean, since we had no snow on the ground it gives you the idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago Liking that GFS is more south. Gives us room to come north. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 6 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Liking that GFS is more south. Gives us room to come north. Agreed. Storms like this always make me nervous to trend north over south unless its like a 1050 HP. Im sure there will be some good Ensemble members. Need the Euro to get on board 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago One final one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago I'll gladly take 3-5 inches on Sunday night/Monday morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 18 minutes ago, north pgh said: I'll gladly take 3-5 inches on Sunday night/Monday morning Ill take one more warning event and then idc what it does after 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago Every run seems to have at least 1 member with 2 ft for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago EURO a no go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago Not sure why but SREFS are showing .5 in snow early evening tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago GFS trending towards other guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 8 minutes ago, colonel717 said: GFS trending towards other guidance. Shocker or is it right where we want it this far out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago The trends are't good but still 4+ days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago The problem is that pesky clipper is trending stronger on sunday which of course suppresses the main wave. We need that clipper to die. Still time but not great trends as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago CMC similar. Models are pretty locked in this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EVLINC64 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago The American Storm @BigJoeBastardi · 6m Euro AI is getting wild Heat wave next weekend ends with snowstorm around Friday the 13th. Beware the ides of March this year, because after the surge, winter fights back till around Easter . You cant keep a good stratwarm down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Anyone noticing a trend... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southpark Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 14 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Anyone noticing a trend... Yes, by Sunday it will be in Maine. Lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EVLINC64 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 2 minutes ago Share Posted 2 minutes ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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