RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 1 hour ago, Burghblizz said: GFS taken literally is worse (lighter snows), but in reality much better as far as breathing room. Considerably south. Right now I think we are right where we want to be. Some models North, some to the South. Don't really want any more South on that GFS op run though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 GFS is better yes. Euro has something to watch, but its very weak in comparison to the other models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 Just saw the EPS indiv members. Not even worth posting them. Only like 3-4 have decent storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 33 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Just saw the EPS indiv members. Not even worth posting them. Only like 3-4 have decent storm. Hence why im not getting too invested. If the signal is there this weekend then ill start really paying attention. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 With all that being said this is a good signal on the GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 1 minute ago, Rd9108 said: With all that being said this is a good signal on the GEFS. Show me that on Sunday and I'll maybe believe it. I'm not saying this is our last chance, but it could be. Extended warm up likely after Monday. Looked like GFS was brewing something end of the run on 13th after the warm up but way too far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 With all that being said this is a good signal on the GEFS. I’ll take this all day. This many days out, I like where we sit with the ensembles. I didn’t look at the EPS. Similar?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 1 hour ago, colonel717 said: Just saw the EPS indiv members. Not even worth posting them. Only like 3-4 have decent storm. That's not great. My quick look at things, seems like weaker / further south is would be the lean based on 12z. Still plenty of time for that to change though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 1 hour ago, MikeB_01 said: I’ll take this all day. This many days out, I like where we sit with the ensembles. I didn’t look at the EPS. Similar? . Not at all. As I said above, only 3-4 of the members out of 50 show 6+ inches of snow. While this shows depth mean, since we had no snow on the ground it gives you the idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 Liking that GFS is more south. Gives us room to come north. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 6 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Liking that GFS is more south. Gives us room to come north. Agreed. Storms like this always make me nervous to trend north over south unless its like a 1050 HP. Im sure there will be some good Ensemble members. Need the Euro to get on board 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 One final one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 I'll gladly take 3-5 inches on Sunday night/Monday morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 18 minutes ago, north pgh said: I'll gladly take 3-5 inches on Sunday night/Monday morning Ill take one more warning event and then idc what it does after 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 Every run seems to have at least 1 member with 2 ft for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 EURO a no go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Not sure why but SREFS are showing .5 in snow early evening tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 GFS trending towards other guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 8 minutes ago, colonel717 said: GFS trending towards other guidance. Shocker or is it right where we want it this far out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 The trends are't good but still 4+ days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 The problem is that pesky clipper is trending stronger on sunday which of course suppresses the main wave. We need that clipper to die. Still time but not great trends as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 CMC similar. Models are pretty locked in this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EVLINC64 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 The American Storm @BigJoeBastardi · 6m Euro AI is getting wild Heat wave next weekend ends with snowstorm around Friday the 13th. Beware the ides of March this year, because after the surge, winter fights back till around Easter . You cant keep a good stratwarm down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Anyone noticing a trend... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southpark Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 14 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Anyone noticing a trend... Yes, by Sunday it will be in Maine. Lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EVLINC64 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 Not really seeing any signs of anything notable but heres the latest NBM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now