Carvers Gap Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago I haven't talked a ton about the d10-15 today, but modeling is MUCH colder with it. The 18z GFS is frigid. Its ensemble isn't much warmer. The EPS at 12 was cold. I think the MJO juice has made it to the deterministic models and their accompanying ensembles @Daniel Boone! The juice is loose! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 4 hours ago, nrgjeff said: This system will probably do more than Monday night Tennessee north of I-40. Not everywhere, but more places esp northeast Tenn. More I mean snow. Fortunately the ice looks trace again. Regrettably I don't have time to write more. Good luck up there! You all are keeping the lights on which we appreciate greatly!!!! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 4 hours ago, John1122 said: It looked like Maine or somewhere here in 1996. There was snow piled up to the bottom of stop signs and in mountains in parking lots from Early January until around Valentines Day. Same here John. I lived in downtown Pennington gap then at an Elevation of just 1360 and recorded 52 inches for the Season. Much of the Area received more due to Elevation. Wise set State Seasonal Record with 123.4 inches. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted 46 minutes ago Share Posted 46 minutes ago The 6z GFS might be its coldest run yet. The 0z Euro and CMC have several light events which are northern stream driven. Models continue to get colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted 38 minutes ago Share Posted 38 minutes ago The GFS has had this time frame(give our take a couple of days from Dec 17th) on-and-off as a potential time for very cold air. The 0z Euro also has this but just a bit shallower. The extreme solutions have not verified yet, but only IMHO because climatology really hasn't supported it yet. By mid-December, very cold air has precedent over the valley regions. This also fits recent MJO rotations - I have not looked a today's as of this post. Again, if you like nickel and dime events(sometimes w/ mixed precip), the next 2-3 weeks are full of them. Let's see if they verify. Right now the trough axis is slightly too far to the East. Where is the actual SER when you need it, right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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