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Hurricane Erin: 110 MPH - 943 mb - N @ 13


Predict her peak  

69 members have voted

  1. 1. Predict Erin’s peak

  2. 2. Will Erin landfall?

    • Yes (CONUS)
    • Yes (Canada)
    • Yes (Bermuda including brush)
    • Yes (The Caribbean)
    • No


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5 minutes ago, Coach McGuirk said:

People were saying this might hit as a major hurricane, the models were saying otherwise and the models won. 

"People were saying?"

 

Who?  At what point?   This was a well forecasted storm in terms of track and intensity.   While there were absolutely the same usual folks that would pull outlier tracks and intensity guidance from certain models, this was fairly well projected from most suites.  The western end of the envelope verification was still within margin of error. 

I don’t believe anyone has called for even a remote chance of lower 48 landfall in over 96 hours.   This is a win-win scenario for enthusiasts up and down the eastern seaboard.   We are afforded an opportunity to study a unique system, with hopefully minimal damage.   Trust me, damage is still being incurred as i type this.  

 

 

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3 minutes ago, dseagull said:

"People were saying?"

 

Who?  At what point?   This was a well forecasted storm in terms of track and intensity.   While there were absolutely the same usual folks that would pull outlier tracks and intensity guidance from certain models, this was fairly well projected from most suites.  The western end of the envelope verification was still within margin of error. 

I don’t believe anyone has called for even a remote chance of lower 48 landfall in over 96 hours.   This is a win-win scenario for enthusiasts up and down the eastern seaboard.   We are afforded an opportunity to study a unique system, with hopefully minimal damage.   Trust me, damage is still being incurred as i type this.  

 

 

Youtubers and Redditers. 

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8 minutes ago, Coach McGuirk said:

The video of Miami is fine then they go south and it's like OMG!

Yes and at first  when there were no reports TV said that was no news and good news. Very quickly they got that it was because no one could report 

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27 minutes ago, dseagull said:

Not so underwhelming here on ocracoke

Sorry, not my intention to downplay. We set the bar pretty high for an offshore storm. I saw storm reports and clips from earlier but it seems like I'm not finding much in realtime right now. I guess morning will tell the tale. 

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18 minutes ago, Summey said:

Was just thinking about Dorian. Everyone forgot about it past the Bahamas but Ocracoke was decimated.   Hope it isn’t anything like that.  Godspeed. 

Dorian got up to 185 MPH, Trump made his cone through Florida and it went out to sea.  LOL.

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