Met1985 Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 Storms starting to pop today already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 Looks like we might be in for a brief taste of fall. https://www.facebook.com/share/1FD9w4ijqg/?mibextid=wwXIfr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted July 19 Author Share Posted July 19 Dying thunderstorm ending a very productive day around the house. It's nice to have patterns of our past! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted July 20 Share Posted July 20 Currently 62 with fog and occasional nwf showers in Wolf. Loving it!Caught a few before and after pics of yesterday afternoon's storms.Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted July 22 Author Share Posted July 22 Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0775 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1230 PM EDT Tue Jul 22 2025 Areas affected...Carolina Piedmont into southern Appalachians Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 221629Z - 222100Z Summary...Isolated to scattered areas of flash flooding will be possible across the Piedmont of NC/SC into the higher terrain of the southern Appalachians through late afternoon. Rainfall rates of 1-2 in/hr and localized 2+ in/hr rates will become likely but much of that rainfall may fall over a sub-hourly timescale leading to rapid runoff. Discussion...GOES East visible and regional radar imagery at 16Z showed scattered showers over far northeastern NC into western NC, embedded within an anomalously moist environment in place over the southeastern U.S. PW values on 12Z RAOBs from GSO and FFC ranged from 2.1 to 2.2 inches, near or above the climatological max for the middle of July per SPC data, and while PW values in the mountains are naturally lower, similar PW percentile values are likely into the terrain. Current cloud cover is likely limiting MLCAPE over the western portions of the Carolinas with 16Z SPC mesoanalysis data showing ~500 J/kg or less, but peak surface heating is still a few hours away. With continued surface heating, short term RAP forecasts show MLCAPE values increasing into the 500-1500 J/kg range through 22Z. The combination of sufficient instability and high moisture (tall/skinny CAPEs) will allow for high short term rain rates via efficient rainfall production. Deeper layer mean flow is oriented from the NW at 5-10 kt, weaker to the south, which should allow for relatively slow moving cells. 1-2 inches of rain in 30-60 minutes will be possible in the stronger cells that develop which could lead to isolated to scattered areas of flash flooding. Otto ATTN...WFO...FFC...GSP...MRX...RNK... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted July 23 Author Share Posted July 23 I'm sad to learn of John Burns passing. God bless his family. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted Friday at 11:55 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 11:55 PM I've been under two wet cells this afternoon that has brought over an inch of rain and still raining. Luck of the draw today I suppose. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Saturday at 03:54 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:54 PM This will be a treat for the first of AugustSent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Saturday at 10:53 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:53 PM Shoot today's gfs has highs in the 60s and lows in the 50s next weekend. That would be freaking amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Sunday at 12:40 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:40 AM Multiple storms today with another one knocking on the door. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Sunday at 01:19 AM Share Posted Sunday at 01:19 AM This is a banger of a storm. Torrential downpours with a bit of hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Monday at 12:04 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:04 AM Today was miserable. Luckily only 2 to 3 more days of this crap weather. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago Been raining for hours at home and looks like it's set in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted 19 hours ago Author Share Posted 19 hours ago Looks like just about everyone in the mountains got some beneficial rain this afternoon. Just 54 days until Fall! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago 38 minutes ago, Maggie Valley Steve said: Looks like just about everyone in the mountains got some beneficial rain this afternoon. Just 54 days until Fall! I am the exception. 0.0 here today. I am at 6.57 inches for the month, but most of that was by mid month. I have seen a multitude of ways that thunderstorms can miss me in the last 2 weeks. 2.68 inches at the airport yesterday, but nothing here. But, the tide will turn my way again eventually. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 1 hour ago, ncjoaquin said: I am the exception. 0.0 here today. I am at 6.57 inches for the month, but most of that was by mid month. I have seen a multitude of ways that thunderstorms can miss me in the last 2 weeks. 2.68 inches at the airport yesterday, but nothing here. But, the tide will turn my way again eventually. Please, take all mine. I could use a good drought! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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