vortexse93 Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 Looks like I might have a chance to chase after all this evening if things go right. SPC extended the 2% tornado just to my north. As @nrgjeffsaid, 2% strong Date: 6/22/2026 @7:10 AM 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 Just upgraded to 5% . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 1:30 pm Central. I need that tornado warning back. Come on! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 This bowed out storm complex rolling through looks pretty mean. 80 mph winds in the strongly worded warning text. They also activated the cell phone emergency alerts for it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 Here is what I saw about 6:30 Eastern from the North Georgia Costco. Lookout Mountain became envoloped. I infer a rain curtain punching out front, but could not discern any rotation. The 80 mph tag was probably justified. I'm shocked Chattanooga doesn't have more damage. As for the Georgia side, I saw a mini-cut (not pictured) but it wasn't enough to spin up a tornado. Warning was justified though; it was trying to rotate. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted June 27 Share Posted June 27 Big Marginal risk issued for tomorrow sort of the majority of the country here is low end threats all hazard 2% tor 5% hail and wind bigger threat in dakotas with slight and enhanced risk there don’t really know the hazard probability’s there also slight risk for east coast parts of Virgina and Carolinas . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted June 27 Share Posted June 27 Just upgraded to slight with 2% to 5% non hatched tornado risk and 5% to 15% damaging wind risk no hail threat. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted June 27 Author Share Posted June 27 1 minute ago, KakashiHatake2000 said: Just upgraded to slight with 2% to 5% non hatched tornado risk and 5% to 15% damaging wind risk no hail threat . ...Mid-South/Tennessee/southern Kentucky to North Carolina... Multiple MCVs, including across far south-central Missouri and southeast Kansas at midday, will influence the region as they progress east-southward generally toward Kentucky and Tennessee. Related flow enhancement is evident in regional WSR-88d VWP data, and particularly in the 12z Lamont, OK observed sounding (40+ kt 4-9km AGL). See Mesoscale Discussion 1346 for additional short-term details. These MCVs will influence and semi-focus thunderstorm development within a moist and increasingly unstable boundary layer from the southeast Missouri/northeast Arkansas border vicinity into Kentucky and Tennessee. This includes the possibility of some supercells and well-organized clusters in the presence of 35-40 kt effective shear. Pockets of wind damage will be the most common risk, but some tornado potential will exist as well. Additional severe storms capable of wind damage are also expected farther eastward into the Carolinas this afternoon through around mid-evening. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted June 27 Share Posted June 27 We also have a marginal slight and moderate risk for excessive rainfall as well majority of tn with moderate in Ky and also nosing in north east middle tn . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted June 27 Share Posted June 27 Thanks jaxjagman. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted Saturday at 08:38 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 08:38 PM Models have been shitty,the MCS is going into the OV riding the boundary which looks to stationary,surprised they kept the 5% last update 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted Sunday at 01:56 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:56 PM 17 hours ago, jaxjagman said: Models have been shitty,the MCS is going into the OV riding the boundary which looks to stationary,surprised they kept the 5% last update Models have been really bad lately it seems. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted Monday at 04:50 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:50 PM Models are always bad in mesoscale season, as you know. At least this website is back to normal speed. Saturday had Crossville special written all over it. I gave up mid-afternoon after cells near Pikeville looked like crap. Then at sunset while I'm back home enjoying the World Cup, tornado warning Cumberland Co. What a hobby! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted Tuesday at 05:25 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:25 PM Day 3 marginal risk issued for parts of Ky sc nc al Ms and ga . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted Wednesday at 06:01 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:01 PM Slight and marginal risk issued for southeast today the marginal risk in parts of the Carolinas north Georgia most of Alabama Mississippi Louisiana south east Arkansas and also tn slight risk in South tn north Georgia northern and central Alabama and Mississippi also small tiny area in North Carolina that is with the hazards of 5-15% damaging non hatched wind and 5% hail non hatched . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted Wednesday at 06:17 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:17 PM Day two has marginal risk in ky Virgina Carolinas Alabama Mississippi and slight risk in south east tn parts of Carolinas north Georgia northeast Alabama for tomorrow 5-15% wind and 5% for hail . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted yesterday at 02:22 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:22 PM Day 1 has slight risk for all of middle tn and surrounding states north Alabama and Georgia north east Mississippi followed by a marginal risk for parts of west central mississippi central Alabama and Georgia the Carolinas somewhat majority of Kentucky parts of Virgina southern Illinois and Indiana Missouri and Arkansas for 5% 15% 30% non hatched for damaging wind and also 5% non hatched hail . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted yesterday at 05:30 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:30 PM Not bad for a mid-summer easterly flow MCS. Usually 15% is it for wind. We'll see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted yesterday at 05:32 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:32 PM Cool I’ll take a MCS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Marginal risk issued for 5% wind and hail areas being tn river and middle tn parts of east tn also in north al and ga north east Ms as well points northward in a pretty big spaced out marginal slight also enhanced risk in the north or central plains . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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