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Texas 2025 Discussion/Observations


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8 minutes ago, canderson said:

Pretty sure my land had a tornado going through it right now just outside Clarksville. 

PDS warning with that one. 

 

Edit; it occluded just north of Clarksville but looks like it's about to put down another one. On a related note, tornado parameters in Arkansas are insane right now. 

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Fine TX spring wx all this week to be outside. Can't ask for more comfortable conditions in the entire state by this time of year.

Was more winterlike this past weekend even in STX with below normal temps. And record snowfall in the Panhandle region.

IMG_5860.jpg.c218fbc2dd50d2ba115d8eca615f97ca.jpg

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.A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
PARKER COUNTY...

At 949 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Western Lake, or 10 miles southwest of Weatherford,
moving north at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Brock, Weatherford, and Western Lake around 955 PM CDT.

 

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  • 2 weeks later...

SPC D1 enhanced svr risk today over central half of state looks valid, looking at instability/shear parameters. Especially Del Rio - Houston region and south later this afternoon with a front, outflows and peak sfc heating in the region. CAMs as usual, have not been doing well on MCS evolution (even last week) over southern half.

If things haven't gotten convectively interesting enough since last week in the state, they likely will next week especially now that May has arrived. To top it off, both Euro & GFS along with ensembles are showing an abnormally deep slow-moving H5 Low nearing the state with stronger ridging further north/east around mid week and lingering front in the state.

IMG_6130.thumb.PNG.9393d4aadad8f5c377547c6753dbc178.PNG

'Been like that for days now, but with LN completely gone, and the MJO hanging around the latter phases in or next to the unit circle has me more concerned looking back on past major convective events in the state this time of year like that. Flood threat is bound to increase over the eastern half with MCS activity around through most if not all of next week.

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