2025 forecast contests -- enter for November 2025 contest (deadline 06z November 1st)

[wxallannj]

DCA _NYC _BOS __ORD _ ATL _IAH __ DEN _PHX _SEA

1.0       1.0      1.0       2.8    2.5    2.9      3.1      2.6     1.0

 

November

[Ephesians2]

DCA: -1.5

NYC: -1.0

BOS: -1.5

ORD: -2.5

ATL: 0.5

IAH: 1.5

DEN: 2.0

PHX: 4.0

SEA: 3.0

[Roger Smith]

-1.4 _ -1.4 _ -1.7 __ -2.3 _ -2.5 _+0.9 ___ +1.5 _ +3.5 _ +0.8

[yoda]

DCA: +1.0

NYC: +0.8

BOS: +0.6

ORD: +0.4

ATL:  +1.3

IAH: +1.9

DEN: +2.2

PHX: +2.4

SEA: +0.7

[bkviking]

DCA: +1.3

NYC: +1.1

BOS: +1.0

ORD: +1.0

ATL: +1.4

IAH: +1.8

DEN: +2.1

PHX: +1.9

SEA: +0.5

[so_whats_happening]

DCA     NYC   BOS    ORD    ATL    IAH    DEN    PHX     SEA   

  1.1        1.4       1.9      1.4       1.1       2.1     2.4      2.4       .8

[wxdude64]

This will be ugly, completely forgot!

DCA: -2.2

NYC: -3.0

BOS: -2.7

ORD: -3.3

ATL: -1.5

IAH: -0.4

DEN: +0.5

PHX: +0.8

SEA: +2.1

[Roger Smith]

On 11/2/2025 at 6:32 PM, wxdude64 said:

This will be ugly, completely forgot!

DCA: -2.2

NYC: -3.0

BOS: -2.7

ORD: -3.3

ATL: -1.5

IAH: -0.4

DEN: +0.5

PHX: +0.8

SEA: +2.1

I have lost track of what late penalties I applied to whom in the past so, given the fact your position is identical to mine (hopelessly adrift of the leaders) I won't bother to penalize this one. If we keep going in 2026, I am going to have to bring late penalties up to date with current practices and expectations, what I said in the past was going to result in quite a few very large late penalties in 2025 but there are some forecasters here who are never late and they probably feel a bit put out by overly lenient policies too. The problem for me is, the contest is well supported by a loyal group but at the same time we have pretty close to the bare minimum number participating to make it worthwhile, and I am trying to balance the fairness aspect with the existence altogether of the contest. 

Anyway, same goes for StormchaserChuck who has not posted yet, he's in the chase-the-chase pack with you and me, it really doesn't matter much if we reduce our scores even further, any one of us could win November and December and still finish 700 points back of Tom and hudsonvalley21 and 300 back of the chase pack behind the leaders. I am just trying to stay clear of Normal at this point.

 

General note -- all scoring updated and checked over, back in the thread before November forecasts. 

[wxdude64]

2 minutes ago, Roger Smith said:

I have lost track of what late penalties I applied to whom in the past so, given the fact your position is identical to mine (hopelessly adrift of the leaders) I won't bother to penalize this one. If we keep going in 2026, I am going to have to bring late penalties up to date with current practices and expectations, what I said in the past was going to result in quite a few very large late penalties in 2025 but there are some forecasters here who are never late and they probably feel a bit put out by overly lenient policies too. The problem for me is, the contest is well supported by a loyal group but at the same time we have pretty close to the bare minimum number participating to make it worthwhile, and I am trying to balance the fairness aspect with the existence altogether of the contest. 

Anyway, same goes for StormchaserChuck who has not posted yet, he's in the chase-the-chase pack with you and me, it really doesn't matter much if we reduce our scores even further, any one of us could win November and December and still finish 700 points back of Tom and hudsonvalley21 and 300 back of the chase pack behind the leaders. I am just trying to stay clear of Normal at this point.

 

General note -- all scoring updated and checked over, back in the thread before November forecasts. 

LOL, yeah, this is NOT my year. I have no issue in some form of a penalty, it just slipped my brain. Maybe it was because I was home! I remembered twice this year to get picks in before the date while away but being home, it just went *poof*.