2025 forecast contests -- enter for July 2025 contest (deadline 06z July 1st)

[Roger Smith]

A reminder to enter the July contest, entries will appear below. 

June scoring is updated in post before previous post (wxdude64 July forecast already entered). 

This post now has May annual report ready to be edited to include June ... I have already edited in best scores and extreme forecasts (subject to adjustments) ... the scoring is not updated yet.

 

 

=== ::: [] <<<<<<< Annual Scoring for Jan-May 2025 >>>>>>> [] ::: ===

... June to be added to these totals ... most June scores are 700-800.

 

FORECASTER _________ DCA_NYC_BOS__east__ORD_ATL_IAH _ cent _ c/e _ DEN_PHX_SEA__ west __TOTALS

 

Tom ___________________325 _346 _376 __1047 __314 _328 _302 __944 _1991 __352 _318 _294__964 ___2955

hudsonvalley21 _______ 303 _358 _390 __1051 __246 _372 _301 __919__1970 __304 _308 _364__976 ___2946

___ Consensus _______ 305 _336 _354__995__300 _386 _286_972 _1967 _ 287 _326 _360__973___2940

so_whats_happening __337 _356 _318 __1011 __282 _402 _263 __947 _ 1958 __274 _258 _380__ 910 ___ 2868

RJay __________________ 304 _371 _ 381__1056 __314 _390 _276 __980 _ 2036__237 _243 _263__743 ___2779

BKViking ______________ 230 _293 _303 __826 __312 _374 _280 __966 _ 1792 __ 318 _320 _337__ 975 ___2767

Scotty Lightning _______330 _332 _312 __ 974 __241 _268 _ 296 __805 _ 1779 __253 _374 _350__977 ___2756

wxallannj ______________263 _290 _330 __ 883 __308 _306 _272 __886 _1769 __ 318 _316 _343__ 977 ___2746

DonSutherland1 _______233 _282 _318 __ 833 __262 _352 _252 __866 _1699 __ 311 _286 _382__ 979 ___2678

RodneyS ______________ 288 _280 _326 __ 894 __256 _300 _234 __790 _ 1684 __231 _316 _436__983___2667

StormchaserChuck ___ 309 _306 _316 __ 931 __200 _388 _ 199 __787 _ 1718 __ 313 _282 _293__888 ___2606

wxdude64 _____________244 _270 _294 __ 808 __230_ 332 _254 __816 _ 1624 __311 _326 _342__979 ___2603

Roger Smith ___________274 _302 _314 __ 890 __ 272 _334 _258 __864 _ 1754 __ 158 _260 _331__ 749 ___2503

___ Normal _____________240 _302 _316 __ 858 __242 _ 178 _ 121 ___541 __1399 __ 284 _314 _360__958 ___2357

maxim (2/6) ___________ 180 _ 152 _164 __ 496 ___ 96_ 120 _ 082 __ 298 __ 794 __ 92 _ 90 _ 135__ 317 ____ 1111 

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -- prorated total ... 3333 (this is updated)

Persistence _____________116 _236 _322 __ 674 ___138 _196 _226 __ 560 _1234 __134 _198 _284 __ 616 ____1850

____________________________

 

_____

 

__ Best scores __

scot/tomso/wxd/wxd/RS/wxallan/RJay/Rjay/Tom/Rjay/scot/Rjay/tom-wxallan

^ incl tied for best score 

* incl 3 tied for best score

________________________ DCA_NYC_BOS__east__ORD_ATL_IAH_cent_c/e _ DEN_PHX_SEA__west__ TOTALS

Tom ____________________ 1 __ 2^* _ 1 ___ 1 ___ 1 ___ 1* __1 ___ 1 ___ 1 ___ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1^____2 __ Mar,Jun

hudsonvalley21 ________ 0 __ 2* __ 2 ___ 0 ___ 0 __ 1 __ 1* ___0 __ 0 ___ 1^__ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 ____0

___ Consensus _______ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0  __ 0 __ 1  ___0 __ 0 ___ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___0 ____0

so_whats_happening __ 0 __ 2^__ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 __ 1 __ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 1^ __ 1^ __ 1 ___ 2 _____0

RJay ___________________ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 ___ 2*__ 0 __ 2*__ 2 __ 0 ___ 1 __ 1*__ 1 ___0 ____ 0

BKViking _______________ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 __ 1 __ 0 ___ 2 __ 1 ____ 1 ___ 1*__ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 

Scotty Lightning _______ 3^__ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 __ 0 __ 2 ____0 __ 0 ___ 0 __ 4*___1 ___ 1 ____ 0

wxallannj _______________0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 __ 1 __ 0 ___ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 1^____ 0

Don Sutherland 1 _______0 __ 1^__ 1^____ 0 ___ 0 __ 1 ___0 ___ 0 __ 0 ___ 1 __ 1^__ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0

RodneyS _______________ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1 __ 1* __ 1* __ 1 __ 1 ___ 0 __ 1 __ 3 ____ 1 _____1 _ May

StormchaserChuck _____1 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 2*__ 1 __ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 __0 ___ 1 ____ 0 _Apr

wxdude64 ______________0 __ 0 __ 2^___ 2 ___ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 __ 0 ___ 1 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 _____ 1 _ Jan

Roger Smith ____________ 1^ __ 2^__ 1 ___ 1 ___ 2 ___1 __ 2**__0 __ 1 ___ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 ____ 1 _ Feb

___ Normal ______________ 1 __ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 __ 1 __ 1 ___ 0 ____ 0

maxim __________________ 1 __ 0 __ 1^___ 0 ___ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 __ 0 ___ 1 __ 1 __ 0 ___ 1 _____ 0

==============================

odd distribution of contest wins, 4/5 go to last four regular entrants in total scoring. (one to top scorer Tom)

 

Extreme forecasts (updated for June) 

So far, 32 of 54 ... 18 for warmest and 14 for coldest ... Jan 1-4, Feb 1-4, Mar 5-0, Apr 6-0, May 2-6, Jun 3-0

 

Forecaster _______________ Jan _ Feb _ Mar _Apr _May _Jun __ Total___adj for ties (*2 tied, ^3 tied)

 

Rodney S _________________ 2-1 _ 1*-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _3*0 _0-0 __6-1 ____5.0 - 1.0

Scotty Lightning __________ 1-0 _ 0-0 _ 2-0 _ 0-0 _ 2-0 _ 0-0 __5-0 ___ 5.0 - 0.0

hudsonvalley21 ___________ 1*-0_ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 2-0 _ 1-1 _ 0-0 __4-1 ___ 3.5 - 0.0

Roger Smith ______________ 0-0 _ 3-1 _ 0-1 _ 1*0 _ 0-0 _ 1-2 ___ 5-4 ___ 4.5 - 4.0

Stormchaser Chuck _______0-0 _0-0 _0-1 _ 4*-2 _0-0 _ 0-0 ___4-3 ___ 3.5 - 3.0

___ Normal ________________ 1-0 _ 0-1 _ 1-0 _ 0-0 __ 2-0 _0-0 __ 3-1 ____ 3.0 - 1.0

maxim _____________________1^-0_ 0-0 _ 2-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _0-0 __ 3-0 ___ 2.33-0.0

Tom _______________________ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 1-0 _ 0-0 _ 2*0 _0-0 __3-0 ___ 2.5 - 0.0

RJay _______________________ 0-0 _0-0 _0-0 _2**-0_0-0 _ 1-0 __ 3-0 ___ 2.0-0.0

so_whats_happening _____ 1*-0 _1*-0_ 0-0 _ 0-0 _0-0 __0-0 __ 2-0 ____1.0 - 0.0

Don Sutherland ___________ 1^-0_ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 1-0 _ 0-0 __ 2-0 ____1.33-0.0

BKViking __________________ 0-0 _ 1-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 __ 1-0 ____ 1.0 - 0.0

wxallannj __________________0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 1-0 __ 1-0 ____ 1.0 - 0.0

wxdude64 _________________1^-0_ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 __ 1-0 ____0.33-0.0

 

=========================================================

 

 

[hudsonvalley21]

 

July 2025

 

DCA _ NYC _ BOS ___ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

+ 1.3    +1.8    +2.1      +2.1    +0.6   +0.4      +2.1    +2.2   +0.9

[Scotty Lightning]

July

DCA _ NYC _ BOS ___ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

1.5        1.5      1.0          1.0       1.5    2.0        1.0      2.0      1.0

[Rjay]

DCA: +2.5

 

NYC: +2.5

 

BOS: +2.5

 

ORD: +2.5

 

ATL: +2.0

 

IAH: +2.0

 

DEN: +2.0

 

PHX: +2.0

 

SEA: +0.5

[wxallannj]

July

DCA _ NYC _ BOS ___ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

2.2       2.3     2.5         2.2       1.7     2.5        1.6      0.2      1.8

[Roger Smith]

 

+1.7 __ +1.5 __ +1.3 __ +1.2 __ +2.0 __ +2.0 ___ +0.3 __ +1.5 __ +0.7

June scoring is back in thread, everyone did well so there won't be big changes in the annual scoring race which I will update in another "back in thread" post set aside to take on that work (before all July forecasts except wxdude64's early submission) ...

 

[donsutherland1]

DCA _ NYC _ BOS ___ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

1.8       2.0     2.5         1.5       1.5     0.5        0.3      1.2      2.4