Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion

[wasnow215]

17 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said:

It is the ICON so there is that. However, we do not want to see it phase more and try to become a coastal. Will be a snow to sleet event for sure if that happens.

GFS 12z definitely coming in south...it looks like a couple runs ago

[RVASnowLover]

5 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

GFS 12z definitely coming in south...it looks like a couple runs ago

Major suppression but at least wouldn't have to worry about mixing. Suppression is a concern given the strong hi pressure 

[wasnow215]

They gotta be panicking on the main thread lol. I don't trust the GFS at all at this far out and it's not just that I'm just making this up. If you go back and look at the last couple weeks I've been saying it. This winter season and last season, the European model has just absolutely crushed every other model and until that changes I will absolutely ride Euro-no matter what it does as we get towards the weekend.

[RVASnowLover]

1 minute ago, wasnow215 said:

They gotta be panicking on the main thread lol. I don't trust the GFS at all at this far out and it's not just that I'm just making this up. If you go back and look at the last couple weeks I've been saying it. This winter season and last season, the European model has just absolutely crushed every other model and until that changes I will absolutely ride Euro-no matter what it does as we get towards the weekend.

Unfortunately, the GFS is a terrible model. It's still in its lost phase with this system. CMC is a lot better but it was way north yesterday. See what UK and Euro show 

[Conway7305]

as much as the GFS was suppressed, I’m glad we didn’t have a significant N shift 

[RVASnowLover]

GEFS still looks good. UK looked good too except for HR...lots of sleet verbatim

[Ephesians2]

3 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said:

GEFS still looks good. UK looked good too except for HR...lots of sleet verbatim

Compromise between GFS and UKMET/CMC would be ideal

[RVASnowLover]

2 minutes ago, Ephesians2 said:

Compromise between GFS and UKMET/CMC would be ideal

GFS usually comes around closer to gametime

[RVASnowLover]

Euro holds and crushes everyone

[JB Fins]

I just wish it was Thursday. 

I just can't stand the pit in my stomach where RVA, and Short Pump, are in the crosshairs this far out.  

Shoot, I am 55, I should not be worrying about this stuff, but weenieism knows no age limit.

I feel like the TV mets have been burned enough that they are tempering as well, Frieden "snow likely, major possible" same Zach D and Matty D., very careful in their messaging.

[RVASnowLover]

11 minutes ago, JB Fins said:

I just wish it was Thursday. 

I just can't stand the pit in my stomach where RVA, and Short Pump, are in the crosshairs this far out.  

Shoot, I am 55, I should not be worrying about this stuff, but weenieism knows no age limit.

I feel like the TV mets have been burned enough that they are tempering as well, Frieden "snow likely, major possible" same Zach D and Matty D., very careful in their messaging.

Going to be a long week of tracking. A lot can change between now and Saturday. I would be cautious too. We don't get snow events like this much anymore.