ldub23 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 7 minutes ago, chris624wx said: Euro is stuck... Probably the snow totals are so high it crashed. It better be big here, i went out and am overflowing with food now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Good for SEVA meh for RIC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago EPS was east FWIW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Looks similar to 6z. Doesn't gain latitude like GFS and CMC so it's glancing blow for SE VA. Still should get some good amounts with high SLR but nothing like the GFS and CMC is showing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: Good for SEVA meh for RIC Yeah, that turned out worse than 6z. Shame. Went from 3-4 to 2-3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago ric still in the game no worries. Things will trend north they always do 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, chris624wx said: Looks similar to 6z. Doesn't gain latitude like GFS and CMC so it's glancing blow for SE VA. Still should get some good amounts with high SLR but nothing like the GFS and CMC is showing Better than 0Z last night 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Guys come on you dont look at the 6z and 18z runs. They use stale data. Thats newbie stuff there. 12z euro much better then yday 12z run and 0z run. Trends baby 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 3 minutes ago, jlewis1111 said: Guys come on you dont look at the 6z and 18z runs. They use stale data. Thats newbie stuff there. 12z euro much better then yday 12z run and 0z run. Trends baby Look at you all positive! Lol-Let's go!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, wasnow215 said: Look at you all positive! Lol-Let's go!!! Its the truth. Not sure why people care about 6z and 18z models. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Curious what Weathernext 2.0 has now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Not bad, I want 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago DT-WxRisk @wxrisk.bsky.social · 1h WED AM UPDATE ON FRI - SAT NC VA DELMARVA se New England SNOWSTORM youtu.be/TP5lGA9wl24 last few runs GFS MODEL still has blizzard for Nc/ va / Delmarva - Thats is BS. BUT good chance of a significant snow -maybe 10" in NE NC / Norfolk metro ..several inches RIC LYH ROA GSO DAN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Came across this over on Southernwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 25 minutes ago, ldub23 said: GFS has to be skewing these totals 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Dude, GFS did randomly turn off the hope for DC like wtf 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 29 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said: Dude, GFS did randomly turn off the hope for DC like wtf NBM does tend to run a model cycle or 2 behind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: NBM does tend to run a model cycle or 2 behind 43 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: GFS has to be skewing these totals It's more the ratios. The NBM is broken with respect to the ratios - the QPF would be better to look at. I saw in the Mid Atlantic forum that some areas had 40:1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago So I know the main thread gave up after seeing the Euro... but it really isn't that much worse than 06z and is similar to 00z, while being much better than some of yesterday's runs. I have a feeling that this can bump north a bit and that Central VA at least has a shot at a warning level event or at least a 1-3"/2-4" snow from the ULL like last february. What would kill it is a progressive/east trend. Being south of the bullseye is one thing, but it needs to go negative and amplify fast. It is a volatile setup, way more than last storm. Still a lot of disagreement at 60-84 hours. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago NAM is running 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, Ephesians2 said: So I know the main thread gave up after seeing the Euro... but it really isn't that much worse than 06z and is similar to 00z, while being much better than some of yesterday's runs. I have a feeling that this can bump north a bit and that Central VA at least has a shot at a warning level event or at least a 1-3"/2-4" snow from the ULL like last february. What would kill it is a progressive/east trend. Being south of the bullseye is one thing, but it needs to go negative and amplify fast. It is a volatile setup, way more than last storm. Still a lot of disagreement at 60-84 hours. It's close but yet so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said: NAM is running SEVA, Carolina special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 18z NAM. Not good for you RIC folks, sorry! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, chris624wx said: 18z NAM. Not good for you RIC folks, sorry! We are used to it. All the big snows usually hit y'all or north of us. It is the geography. I accepted this is the likely outcome days ago for this setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago if the 500mb low was 50-100 miles north it would be warning level snow for everyone in this thread. I think we can get these types of adjustments in this window. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 48 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said: Dude, GFS did randomly turn off the hope for DC like wtf F DC and the nova crowd 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Ephesians2 said: if the 500mb low was 50-100 miles north it would be warning level snow for everyone in this thread. I think we can get these types of adjustments in this window. Yeah, but my experience living here 33 years of life screams double digits in Hampton Roads and next to nothing here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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