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WPAC, Indian Ocean, and Southern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclones


1900hurricane
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10 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Narrowly escaped a big time hit.

Sometimes the tightness/RI *saves* and area from a bigger hit.  Melissa over Jamaica was similar.  If Melissa had be a long-tracked Cabo Verde, it would have been much larger when striking Jamaica.  Sure, it may not have been as intense since multiple ERCs would preclude its sub-900 mb intensity, but a large Cat 4 impacting the entire island vs. only 1/3 of the islands getting Cat 3+ winds is not the same.  Also, the wrn 1/3 of Jamaica is significantly less populated, and one of its main airports went largely unscathed, and the other being on the N coast on the wrn side of the island had sig less impact than if it were on the S side.

Compare to Gilbert at cat 3 in Sep 1988 that cut down the full length of the Jamaica E-W w/ the entire land devastated.  80% of home lost their roofs.

At least w/ Melissa on about 1/2 of the island, one could find relief, relatively speaking, short-term before full aid arrived and was distributed.

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