SACRUS Posted June 24, 2023 Author Share Posted June 24, 2023 On 6/12/2016 at 9:26 AM, SACRUS said: With just about 3 weeks to go the holiday will slowly start showing up on some long range forecasts Past July 4th's Year. 23..21..20..19..18..17...16..15...14...13...12....11....10...09...08....07....06...05....04...03...02...01...00...99...98...97...96...95..94...93 EWR: 91..84..87...89...89...88...84...79...76...91...97...92...101...83...81....73...89...80...87...94...100...81....88...99...86...88...72...84..86..97 LGA:. 87..79..88...93...84...87...86...75...74...91....95...88....98....81...80....73...92...82...83...93...98....81....84...95...86...87...73...84..83..92 TTN: 85..79..89...91...91...86...82...75...75...84....88...95....99....81...80....74...89...84...89...92...97....82....87...99...85...84...73...81..83..92 JFK: 85..75..85....97...86...85...82...80...76....84...89...86....101...83...82....72...86..78...79...92...99....75....81...97...82...89...74...80..83..96 NYC: 85..77.. 87...90...86...85...84...75...74...87....92...86....96....79...78....71...87...83...82...92...96....79....84...96...84...85...71...84..86..95 10 Days till the fourth of July. Looks warm currently but storms chances Sat/Sun befoee drier Mon the third and Tue Independence Day Go low to mid 80s Sat - Sun (some storms especially Sat the 1st) warmer Mon and Tue : 85 - 90 (isolated storms) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 25, 2023 Author Share Posted June 25, 2023 Holiday weekend flow comes around more S Westerly and while storm chances remain it will be less widespread and higher heat potential as indications of the stronger heat nearby with >18c 850s near by. 7/1 - 7/4 looks warm and storm chances 7/1-7/2 with a drier summer(ier) 7/3 and July fourth. Sat 7/1 : low / mid 80s scattered storms Sun 7/2: Mid 80s scattered storms Mon 7/3 : mid / upper 80s scattered / isolated storms Tue 7/4 : upper 80s / low 90s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 27, 2023 Share Posted June 27, 2023 Hopefully the gfs is wrong about this weekend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 27, 2023 Author Share Posted June 27, 2023 Models continue a warm / humid n=unsettled pattern into Sat / Sun but much like the past weekend there should be periods of sun and more scattered storms . Sun night into Monday looks more focused storms/showers. Later the third and Independence day looks to dry out with more isolated storms. Sat: Scattered storms : low - mid 80s Sun (7/2): scattered storms / overnight widespread storms: low 80s Mon (7/3) early storms : mid 80s Tue (7/4) : Isolated storms : mid 80 / upper 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 28, 2023 Author Share Posted June 28, 2023 Continues to look Florida-like into the Holiday weekend with humid, storm chances and warm condiitions. The fourth looks to dry out by morning from Mon 7/3 pm and evening to overnight storms. Sat: P. cloudy , scattered storms (mainly evening) : low - mid 80s Sun: P cloudy, sacttered storms : low 80s (perhaps more cloudy) Mon: P - m cloudy storms in the PM and evening (widespread) : near 80 Fourth of July : Morning scattered storms and clouds clearing , warm : mid 80s 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 1 hour ago, SACRUS said: Continues to look Florida-like into the Holiday weekend with humid, storm chances and warm condiitions. The fourth looks to dry out by morning from Mon 7/3 pm and evening to overnight storms. Sat: P. cloudy , scattered storms (mainly evening) : low - mid 80s Sun: P cloudy, sacttered storms : low 80s (perhaps more cloudy) Mon: P - m cloudy storms in the PM and evening (widespread) : near 80 Fourth of July : Morning scattered storms and clouds clearing , warm : mid 80s We're going to have our holiday cookouts on tuesday and wednesday. Looks as if that will work out best with the weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 29, 2023 Author Share Posted June 29, 2023 Looks like a humid, warm and at times stormy Fourth of July extended weekend. Low - mid 80s, worst most widespread storms Sun PM and Mon PM into the morning of the fourth. Sat: Patly to mostly cloudy , humid near 80 / low 80s. Scattered storms. Sun : Partly cloudy, warm / humid low - mid 80s (warmer where the sun is out longer) widespread storms later at night Mon (7/3) : Cloudy with potential strong widespread storms PM / evening into the overnight Tue (Fourth of July) : becoming partly cloudy, warmer mid 80s . scattered storms persist in areas but not a washout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 30, 2023 Author Share Posted June 30, 2023 75/ 66 P cloudy and smoke haze (smaze). Dry and warm today and we continue a reprieve from the tropics. July opens not too bad warm / humid and scattered late storms before a stormier Sun (7/2) and Mon (7/3). When and where the sun is out it will warm or heat quickly with 850 temps >18c throughout the area. Southerly flow and heat spell some strong soakers late Sun and Mon especially. Storms and low pressure moving out by Fourth of July. Warm and drier 7/5 - 7/8 as it looks now with next shot at 90s with hot edge of the TX/OK , Southern Plain heat into the areas >16c. Beyond : overall warm and humid and the western Atlantic ridge looming by and expanding west spells a longer warmer stretch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 30, 2023 Share Posted June 30, 2023 Nam has a strip of heavy rain Sunday night and again Monday afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 30, 2023 Author Share Posted June 30, 2023 Fri (6/30): Partly cloudy and Smoke haze : mid / upper 80s Sat (7/1) - Mon 7/3) : Partly to mostly cloudy warm, humid wit scattered storms Sat, widespread storms Sun evening and widespread strong storms Mon Pm into the overnigt. Clearing in the morning of the fourth. Dry (widely scattered thunder storms) warm upper 80s to near 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 30, 2023 Share Posted June 30, 2023 49 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Fri (6/30): Partly cloudy and Smoke haze : mid / upper 80s Sat (7/1) - Mon 7/3) : Partly to mostly cloudy warm, humid wit scattered storms Sat, widespread storms Sun evening and widespread strong storms Mon Pm into the overnigt. Clearing in the morning of the fourth. Dry (widely scattered thunder storms) warm upper 80s to near 90. Good to see that the models now get the rain out of the way late monday and are showing a dry 4th. I wouldn't rule out a couple pop ups, but overall it's looking good for the holiday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sn0w Posted June 30, 2023 Share Posted June 30, 2023 What's the timing look like for rain on Sunday? Moreso evening or we talking morning rain too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 2, 2023 Author Share Posted July 2, 2023 Euro has some lingering storms into the fourth now so we'll see but looks scattered. When and where the sun is out Sun / Mon it will warm up quickly but some storms could be soakers. Sun : partly to mostly cloudy scattered storms becoming more widespread by the evening. Low to mid 80s. (upper 80s where sun is out) Mon (7/3): Partly cloudy scattered storms. Low to mid 80s . Stronger storms in the afternoon and into the night. Tue (7/4): Clearing warm with isolated storms. Upper 80s to low 90s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 4, 2023 Author Share Posted July 4, 2023 Looking like a warm humid fourth, some scattered storms but fireworks time isolated storms more east and north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 Going to be some impressive totals coming out of Hudson, Essex and Union counties when all is said and done. Especially Essex and Union! Essex and Union just getting super soaked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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