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2016 Atlantic Tropical Discussion:Atlantic Looks Active North of 20N

bluewave

By bluewave,
in New York City Metro

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Yanksfan

Yanksfan

Posted
Posted
Just now, Morris said:

On to the next run with a radically different result.

Very good point. It all depends if wave 99L get its act together before it reaches the big islands. If it does, it will have a more wnw trajectory and reach the SE Bahamas in the next several days. If it stays weak and disorganized too long, it will interact with the big islands and then its game over. I like the first scenario. The wave is looking much better today, and its moving into a more conducive area for development. SST's are very high, so we could have a potential monster on our hands. One other important thing to mention is what the Euro depicts is still 10 days away. Weather patterns can certainly change, so anyone from the gulf coast all the way up to New England should not let there guards down.

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Morris

Morris

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, NutleyBlizzard said:

Very good point. It all depends if wave 99L get its act together before it reaches the big islands. If it does, it will have a more wnw trajectory and reach the SE Bahamas in the next several days. If it stays weak and disorganized too long, it will interact with the big islands and then its game over. I like the first scenario. The wave is looking much better today, and its moving into a more conducive area for development. SST's are very high, so we could have a potential monster on our hands. One other important thing to mention is what the Euro depicts is still 10 days away. Weather patterns can certainly change, so anyone from the gulf coast all the way up to New England should not let there guards down.

Technically the first landfall is only 7 days away on the Euro.

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wthrmn654

wthrmn654

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Posted

For 99L

Looking at the 12z global+hurricane models on tropical tidbit, they have once again recurved north sooner, with aims somewhere Georgia/Carolina area. With intensity looks like by hour 120 it wanted to be atleast a cat 1 maybe higher. Long ways to go but exciting none the less!

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