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Eskimo Joe

Central Pennsylvania Late Summer-Fall 2013

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Really, the entire Harrisburg area seems to be a magnet for awful driving. I used to hear my dad talk about it when I was a kid in the 70s. 

 

Well I actually meant the overall condition of the highway from Carlisle to Front Royal, VA being a constant state of construction or poorly maintained. You add bad weather and morons to that, many of whom learned to drive in Harrisburg and BOOM. Trouble.

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It's great for State College. However, I am worried the trend north/west will continue.

Looks icy. 

 

Well I actually meant the overall condition of the highway from Carlisle to Front Royal, VA being a constant state of construction or poorly maintained. You add bad weather and morons to that, many of whom learned to drive in Harrisburg and BOOM. Trouble.

Yup...

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Looks icy. 

 

 

Ya, not quite as great as I had first thought based on the 24-hr plots from the eWall.

 

Looks like ice to snow, with maybe 4-5 inches of snow by the end. Hopefully we can get that cold air a bit further south AND the moisture a bit further north. :P

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At least I got a back up plan. If it snows here I delay to JST, if it is going to snow there I leave early for my trip. I got a good area to work with to see some snow. lol

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At least I got a back up plan. If it snows here I delay to JST, if it is going to snow there I leave early for my trip. I got a good area to work with to see some snow. lol

Sounds like fun Eastern, should be a good time! JST is an absolute target for snow lately.

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Sounds like fun Eastern, should be a good time! JST is an absolute target for snow lately.

 

Ya they will probably get some lake effect this weekend too so that should stick around as well. 

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In the Euro depiction, the active northern stream shortwaves are preventing much sustained confluence at 500 mb that would promote anticyclogenesis in QB and low-level cold air. This also results in a weaker baroclinic zone oriented more perpendicular to the east coast. The SE/SSE flow ahead of the system leads to a broad area of warm air advection and the development of a storm that is elongated and more frontal in nature.

 

There's also the feedback of the elongated cold air advection on the backside of the system lowering heights and spreading out the vorticity in the meridional direction. In short, this makes it difficult for snowfall to occur outside of a band of lower QPF anafrontal precip on the western edge of the storm.

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