EasternUSWX Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 NAO is minus .38 hey we got a chance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Down to 34 at the airport...not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 I guess I should note that the only major model of the 12z suite that did something differently was the normally really suppressed NOGAPs which took this weekend low from TX to the central lakes. I mean I take the Nogaps mid range handling of this complicated split flow regime about as seriously as someone that told me it was gonna rain purple squirrels..but it didn't bury this system to Bermuda like you'd think it would. And last nights run had about the same thing. It's really funky at 500 @132 out in the plains. Our in-house model for Thursday prints out 2-3" at UNV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billabong Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Got a nice dusting on the grass and cartops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 14, 2012 Author Share Posted February 14, 2012 Gotta love snow events where you have a net LOSS of snow for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 0z models tonight could be the most important runs ever! Lol well not really but hopefully it keeps coming north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 unless it's south, then it don't mean ****. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 15, 2012 Author Share Posted February 15, 2012 I retract that previous statement, nice snow pushed in and it's below freezing. Snowpack is about replenished to where it started the day, at a heavy heavy coating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Yes? No? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 15, 2012 Author Share Posted February 15, 2012 lol @ 0z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Yes? No? memories..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 memories..... Model output looks similar, does it not? Of course some (dgex) more than others. But we have the huge displaced 50/50, with split flow through the Plains and strong piece of Southern branch energy undercutting it all. Not trying to blow this up into something, just making a casual observation....if anything we can just look back and think "if only". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Yes? No? The 18z GFS @ 108 is kinda close, but SE Canada is much different than it was in 03. However, the phase is really close to happening on the GFS. With the nao not strongly negative, I can still see this moving to the north. There's sufficient spacing (as currently modeled) between this storm and the kicker to allow this to turn up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 She's coming north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 WTF BOOOOMMMMM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Come on baby, keep trending north! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Mmm that's nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Still 96 hours out.... but what a nice run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Still 96 hours out.... but what a nice run! Ya now lets get the rest of the models on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 That's a monster for New England. Its a bit warm for us in the Southern and Eastern portion of the state...lots of rain. Need to get that mid level low along the coast stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 I bet the Euro is less amped. Still plenty of time to work out the details, but a step in the right direction IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 15, 2012 Author Share Posted February 15, 2012 Lol well that happened...not quite "mother of god..." worthy but man classic gulf storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 CMC is still south but, once again shifted north. Precip now up to MD line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Lol well that happened...not quite "mother of god..." worthy but man classic gulf storm. I like the trend. Hopefully the details will work themselves out in our direction down here. A whole lot of wet verbatim here, but the trend is fantastic and the details will change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 UKMET is a no go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 UKMET is a no go. Ukmet is trash. I don't know how it scores so well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Ukmet is trash. I don't know how it scores so well. UKMET is usually gold. FWIW it was one of the more amplified models up till yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 15, 2012 Author Share Posted February 15, 2012 DIdn't the GFS undergo some kind of update today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 UKMET is usually gold. FWIW it was one of the more amplified models up till yesterday. It is either a hit or somewhere over the eastern Atlantic with these storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Ultimate fate of this storm....lol...eastbound and Newfoundland bound!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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