JamieOber Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I really hope it squalls like heck in Pittsburgh after I get there mid afternoon...I really want to see some of the white stuff! You're going to have a hell of a trip getting there. Be careful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 You're going to have a hell of a trip getting there. Be careful. I'm taking Mega Bus. Hopefully they don't wimp out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I'm taking Mega Bus. Hopefully they don't wimp out. Can you pick me up not he way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 LOL A SHALLOW CNVCTV LINE LKLY WILL FORM AS VERY STRONG FORCING BENEATH LEFT EXIT RGN OF UPR JET AND INCRG COLD AIR ADVCTN ALOFT HELP TO STEEPEN LAPSE RATES IN ADVC OF ARRIVAL OF SFC BNDRY. GIVEN THAT BNDRY LYR INVERSION WILL BE SHALLOW...IT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISING TO SEE A FEW RPTS OF THUNDER AND WIND DMG ASSOCIATED WITH MORE INTENSE UPDRAFTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Looks like poo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Looks like poo. Won't get going till after 7ish. Decent light snow from western to central KY. That stuff should blow up later as the through starts to turn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdskidoo Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Looks like poo. if it looks like poo and smells like poo it must be ... this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Looks like poo. This is how it was modeled basically... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 This is how it was modeled basically... Yup. Now In a few hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard92 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Looks like the southern tier NY counties and the finger lakes up through Rochester are the places to be for this event. HRRR simulated radar is not impressive south of I-80 at all... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I'm taking Mega Bus. Hopefully they don't wimp out. Eek. They have a reputation for being late even in good wx. Took one from State College to Pittsburgh in October and the bus arrived 2 hours late. Still cloudy here as the sun goes down. Looks like we didn't get past 42 today, which is at least a step in the right direction even if it doesn't have huge implications for the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Huh??? It looks impressive to me? Looks like the southern tier NY counties and the finger lakes up through Rochester are the places to be for this event. HRRR simulated radar is not impressive south of I-80 at all... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Charge!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard92 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Huh??? It looks impressive to me? I am speaking for central Pennsylvania, not western Pennsylvania near Pittsburgh. Most of the precipitation is rain for eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 So whats the deal guys just got back from a meeting? Is blizz still right with mainly rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Not bad. Even S.Central gets .5-1" on GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard92 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Cold air continuing to lag well behind the precipitation. I am not saying that there will not be snow, in fact the threat for a coating to one inch is possible for most all locations. But most of the images being posted here this evening are primarily rain. The flash freeze is the biggest concern with rapid temperatures falls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Looking at the HRRR radar with some snow yet to come, that's more or less what I am thinking for UNV/IMBY - 1-2 with the initial shot, then another inch or so or less of lake effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Cold air continuing to lag well behind the precipitation. I am not saying that there will not be snow, in fact the threat for a coating to one inch is possible for most all locations. But most of the images being posted here this evening are primarily rain. The flash freeze is the biggest concern with rapid temperatures falls. Snow is going to form in the cold sector back in KY, which it has started too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Check out the stuff over western KY, that is the stuff that should do the dirty work. http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/centgrtlakes_loop.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Looking at the HRRR radar with some snow yet to come, that's more or less what I am thinking for UNV/IMBY - 1-2 with the initial shot, then another inch or so or less of lake effect. Next frame. it is getting better each run down my way too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 There is the lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard92 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 HRRR out to the end of the run is typically very inaccurate and should be taken with a grain of salt. Often overestimates snowfall with a tad cold bias. It is a good tool to understand the momentum of the precipitation shields, but otherwise be wary. Again when using the simulated radar feature, use the 1km reflectivity. Composite grossly overestimates the precipitation field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I am checking out reading on my GR2Ana program and after that convective band passes it is all snow behind it right now. Snowing at 36 deg T KJKL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard92 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 wow..you two are going all out lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Ran for coal. Very foggy. 42 F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 42 here cloudy and misty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Some light rain here now. Helping to cool things off. down to 48 from 50 in an hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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