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PHL CWA Jan 26/27 Obs and Discussion thread..part II


NJHurricane

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I love the nova pictures. I was living on campus in the PDII storm...it was simply amazing trudging around, the south campus snowball fights, walkin to the pubs in Bryn Mawrl in two feet of snow, blizzard conditions out in the main parking lot. Thanks for the pics. Brings back lots of memories!

Thanks man! Last winter was great on south campus, with the two HECS within a week Feb 6th-10th. Pretty awesome to have two consecutive snowy winters in this area.

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Awesome pics man! That's literally my backyard haha.

Going to get an epic pounding tonight! Keep me updated with what you get dude!

I got 6 here at home, 6.5 at work, and man tonight is gonna be epic. Emotionally gonna be drained after this. Dude this is gonna be amazing tonight. Too-bad i dont have a camcorder.

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This is about exciting as it gets for the next 12 hours in terms of snow potential in our area.....I can't wait for tonight!

That 18z NAM and HRRR are nuts!

The tiniest of snowflakes falling with a temperature of 33.

man when I rolled over this morning and looked out the window I think my jaw hit the floor...it was like one of those moments when your a kid and you dont really know whats going on but you run to the window and theres a $hitton of snow outside...anyway, its funny that its snowing where your at...I have a light mist here for the past 2 hrs, in Collegeville/Skippack

EDIT: as i typed that it started intertwining snowflakes now..lol

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man when I rolled over this morning and looked out the window I think my jaw hit the floor...it was like one of those moments when your a kid and you dont really know whats going on but you run to the window and theres a $hitton of snow outside...anyway, its funny that its snowing where your at...I have a light mist here for the past 2 hrs, in Collegeville/Skippack

EDIT: as i typed that it started intertwining snowflakes now..lol

the flakes are tiny, but they were sticking to my jacket as I shoveled.

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New Mt Holly AFD

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ

334 PM EST WED JAN 26 2011

.SYNOPSIS...

-- Changed Discussion --LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WILL INTENSIFY AND MOVE

NORTHEAST TONIGHT, REACHING THE CANADIAN MARITIMES THURSDAY. THIS

LOW WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER EVENT

FOR OUR AREA INTO EARLY THURSDAY. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD

INTO THE REGION THURSDAY BUT WILL BE REPLACED BY SEVERAL WEAK

CLIPPER SYSTEMS DROPPING DOWN FROM THE NORTHWEST FRIDAY THROUGH

SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN LATER IN THE WEEKEND.-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...

-- Changed Discussion --THE WARM AIR ADVECTION SNOWS ARE ON THE WANE AFTER DEPOSITING UP

TO 6 INCHES IN CHESTER AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES TODAY. WHAT WILL

TURN INTO QUITE AN INTERESTING EVENT IS SEEN ON RADAR AND SATELLITE

APPROACHING OUR AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST. NUMEROUS LIGHTNING STRIKES

ARE OCCURRING IN VIRGINIA THIS AFTERNOON A PROGRESSIVE UPPER-LEVEL

TROUGH OVER THE WRN CAROLINAS TAKES ON A NEGATIVE TILT. IT WILL

EJECT NEWD ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION THIS EVENING. AS THIS

OCCURS...THE SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE NEWD TOWARD A POSITION S-SE OF

LONG ISLAND BY 03Z. MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THERMODYNAMIC

PROFILES ALONG AND S OF A LINE FROM NRN VA TO CNTRL NJ THAT WILL

INITIALLY SUPPORT MIXED PRECIPITATION. HOWEVER...THE COMBINATION

OF STRONG DEEP LAYER ASCENT AND STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL CAA

OCCURRING IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING SURFACE LOW WILL FAVOR A

QUICK TRANSITION TO SNOW AS THE PRIMARY SHIELD OF PRECIPITATION

TRANSLATES NEWD DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY NIGHT.

THE CONVECTION WILL BE CROSSING OUR AREA BETWEEN 5 AND 8 PM.

DON`T BE ALARMED IF YOU HEAR A RUMBLE OF THUNDER. SNOWFALL RATES

IN THIS CONVECTION COULD EASILY REACH 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR

WITH NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. IT IS ADVISABLE TO AVOID

TRAVEL THIS EVENING IF AT ALL POSSIBLE. WHEN ALL IS SAID AND DONE,

THE LOW WILL PULL OFF TO THE NORTHEAST LATER TONIGHT AND THE SNOW

WILL END FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST BETWEEN 2 AND 5 AM. CURRENT

TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S NORTH TO THE

MID AND UPPER 30S SOUTH. LOWS OVERNIGHT WILL DROP TO AROUND 20

NORTH TO AROUND 30 SOUTH. IT APPEARS AS IF THE I-95 CORRIDOR WILL

BE IN LINE FOR THE MAXIMUM ACCUMULATIONS IN THIS EVENINGS SNOW.

WE SHOULD EASILY BE ABLE TO MEASURE 8 TO 12 INCHES BEFORE IT

BEGINS TO TAPER OFF AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.-- End Changed Discussion --

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Thundersleet at DCA...

SPECI KDCA 262037Z 36012KT 1 1/4SM R01/5500VP6000FT +TSRAPL BR BKN009 OVC013CB 02/01 A2960 RMK AO2 WSHFT 2009 TSB36PLE1959B22 OCNL LTGICCG SW TS SW MOV N P0014

Flipped to snow after some thunder at IAD...

SPECI KIAD 262008Z 35011KT 3/4SM R01R/5500VP6000FT TSPL BR OVC004CB 01/00 A2959 RMK AO2 TSB07RAE1954SNE1954PLB1954 OCNL LTGIC OHD TS OHD MOV E P0009

SPECI KIAD 262021Z 34007KT 1SM R01R/5500VP6000FT -TSSN BR BKN004 OVC010CB 01/M01 A2960 RMK AO2 TSB07RAE1954SNE1954B21PLB1954E21 OCNL LTGIC OHD TS OHD MOV E P0012

SPECI KIAD 262033Z 32012KT 1SM R01R/5500VP6000FT -SN BR BKN004 OVC010 01/M01 A2962 RMK AO2 TSB07E33RAE1954SNE1954B21PLB1954E21 TS MOV E P0013

SPECI KIAD 262040Z 33013KT 1/2SM R01R/5000V6000FT SN FG OVC004 01/M01 A2961

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Do not be surprised if the first heavy band or two rolls in as sleet, or sleet and rain. Do not post about how we are busting or getting screwed...Resist the urge. RESIST.

I have been thinking this would be the case. Heavy precip with Round 2 even in my area probably starts as a sleety mix.

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