clskinsfan Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Looks like some sleet in the Radar for Loudoun county. Can anyone confirm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 What would a winter be without McGuirk's steaming pile of negativity... (Im not trying to knock, I find it amusing most of the time. I think we both need to move to Mammoth, CA [400" yr avg.] to be happy snow-wise.) I'm not being negative. Without an arctic high in place, you can only expect so much cold air to remain at the surface. Besides, this doesn't look like a big system unless we can get the surface and upper level low to hook up. But if that happens, it's likely a mid-western storm as this is a La-Nina winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 I have a question. What was up with this random surface low that hit us like a tropical system? Only Meteorologists are welcome. F'it I don't care. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Martin Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 What would a winter be without McGuirk's steaming pile of negativity... (Im not trying to knock, I find it amusing most of the time. I think we both need to move to Mammoth, CA [400" yr avg.] to be happy snow-wise.) Considering this is Hampton Roads I think it is fair to be cautious about any threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billabong Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 There's no arctic high to the north. This is mainly a rain event. Okay, it's an in-situation CAD event. ice to rain, IMO. Snow accumulation maps had a stripe of 6-8" just south of RIC. All the amounts matched up well with the frame of 6hr precip on the previous page. But.... it doesn't really matter. It's the dgex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billabong Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Don't have access to precip from the euro, but allsnow saying .5-.75 for northern NC and southern VA for Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Its probably a little bit out to lunch but the 18z name came in looking pretty far north and stronger with the potential Thursday threat. Compared to the GFS... 12z run... Major difference and how it handles the upstream shortwaves over the plains... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Maybe some places will see a surprise dusting tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I'm not being negative. Without an arctic high in place, you can only expect so much cold air to remain at the surface. Besides, this doesn't look like a big system unless we can get the surface and upper level low to hook up. But if that happens, it's likely a mid-western storm as this is a La-Nina winter. this is really poor grasp of the science Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 STRONGLY AGREE over running events is one of the things the NAM does kind of well with Its probably a little bit out to lunch but the 18z name came in looking pretty far north and stronger with the potential Thursday threat. Compared to the GFS... 12z run... Major difference and how it handles the upstream shortwaves over the plains... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 This Thursday threat is actually looking interesting. Does frozen make it to the coast around ORF as well? Kind of a interesting setup nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Maybe some places will see a surprise dusting tomorrow I wonder where it is getting this from? Bay effect? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I wonder where it is getting this from? Bay effect? Upper Level Low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Upper Level Low Yeah I see it on WV now. Will be interesting to see if we can see a few flakes from it tomm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanVA Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Look in the lower left of the radar image. http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php Pretty much nothing was there 3 hours ago, it makes me feel a little better about a dusting tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 00z GFS @ 7 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 00z GFS, This is probably all snow: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 00z GFS, This is probably all snow: This is looking encouraging for morning snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Martin Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 This is looking encouraging for morning snow. I am surprised the GFS has that much. If we have that much action it could be an interesting morning, especially with local mets only calling for a stray flurry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowchill Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Gotta love it chance of snow 3 times in one week, tonight thursday may be big one sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
D Ray Morton Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 We can only hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 ORF gets raped. We need the low 50-100 miles more east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 ORF gets raped. We need the low 50-100 miles more east Um, no. That's not allowed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 Gotta love it chance of snow 3 times in one week, tonight thursday may be big one sunday ahh you are awake yea long week ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowchill Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 http://www.nco.ncep....fs_p48_180l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAB1 Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 That 0z GFS solution would be quite painful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 That 0z GFS solution would be quite painful. I swear to fooking god I am moving north if that track happens verbatim. At least there is plenty of time for the low to move east a bit. The euro had a better solution for us. Have to see what the euro produces tonight. Time for coffee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I swear to fooking god I am moving north if that track happens verbatim. At least there is plenty of time for the low to move east a bit. The euro had a better solution for us. Have to see what the euro produces tonight. Time for coffee. Maybe we should focus on tomorrow morning for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 snow showers incoming from western VA it would seem http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=LWX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Maybe we should focus on tomorrow morning for now. I agree, small steps for now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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