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ILoveWinter

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Everything posted by ILoveWinter

  1. Hey I do get your pessimism, I live in Manhattan so I definitely know all about how hard it is to accumulate here! That being said, temps will be better, heck 40 isn't too bad (and as others noted the dews are quite low anyway so there is room to drop pretty quickly). What is not clear is whether decent rates make it up here - if they do CPK may do better than Monday.
  2. Temps will be better this time around and the event starts overnight which should help. But can CPK end up being at the lower end again? Sure. My point is that it's possible CPK ends up with more than the last event.
  3. What are the probs that CPK gets more here vs this past monday's event? I'd say around 50/50 or even a bit higher now with these latest trends
  4. Would be funny if the Park ends up with more from this one
  5. Initially due to UHI, then due to rates. Only had the good stuff for around 90 mins in Manhattan.
  6. Boston got screwed with this one which is weird considering that our northern areas scored big time as when the models indicated this a few days ago, Boston also scored big. When the models indicated the southern trend yesterday, both our northern suburbs and Boston seemed to have lost out. Weird storm. Edit: Weirdly modeled storm I guess
  7. I do care too and have made many comments about their inaccuracy in the past. For this storm I don't think they were far off. I measured around 3.5 in a few spots. Edit: To add, I woke up early (630) and even then there was only an inch at most so there was some lost totals due to UHI. Also we were in the heavy rates for only 90 mins or so mid morning so this also really prevented higher accumulations.
  8. 3.2 measurement is close enough, may have been 3.5 but honestly who cares? Could have been an easy 6 if we stayed within the good banding.
  9. This will def be better than that one in Manhattan. Everything including roads were covered at around 930 with the good rates and we are already at 3-4 inches. Rates diminished after that and with the recent salt spreading, streets are mostly clear again.
  10. Def a beautiful snowy scene in the UWS but not to sound like a downer, we clearly missed out on the best rates. I'll of course take it as it's still better than anything in the past few years!
  11. Starting to pick up again (mod to heavy) after a bit of a lull (light to mod).
  12. Just amazing the NYC/CPK is again in the screw zone. Not saying things can't get better but just my observation per radar and by simply looking outside.
  13. It's fair to say a couple of inches were lost but it's been sticking for the past several hours so not having the best rates / dynamics now will cut in even more than the warm start.
  14. Def a beautiful winter wonderland in the UWS, snow coming down at a good clip and everything is covered including roads. Haven't seen such a scene in a few years here.
  15. Certainly a possibility, would be comical and further proof that it's better to not be modeled as being in the bullseye prior to the start of a storm!
  16. 10 already when some of the models had northern zones being shafted is amazing! You guys always do well.
  17. Heavy snow, cars and grassy surfaces are covered here in UWS
  18. Where is Snowman19? We need his "this will end up north" posts now, lol.
  19. Verbatim per NAM it's still good for NYC for several inches. I'd be very happy with that, just hoping the trend stops here and we don't get further weakening.
  20. Wouldn't be so bad for the immediate metro if this didn't also coincide with a weaker storm. Means little in the City without good rates even if in the main band of precipitation.
  21. GFS will be interesting, I expect a shift south but just how much is the mystery.
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