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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    probably less confluence over SE Canada, which may allow for a bit more weakness in the heights, opening up an inland runner possibility. however, I think a suppressed solution due to a late phase / sheared energy is a much more likely way to fail here
  2. brooklynwx99
    no problem! only goes to 144 so the SLPs aren't of much use, especially given the slightly slower solution
  3. brooklynwx99
    EPS is much improved out west. less of a kicker, which leads to a deeper, farther W trough as a result
  4. brooklynwx99
    EPS is much improved out west. less of a kicker, which leads to a deeper, farther W trough as a result
  5. brooklynwx99
    EPS is much improved out west. less of a kicker, which leads to a deeper, farther W trough as a result
  6. brooklynwx99
    GEFS is more amped than 12z
  7. brooklynwx99
    this is pretty impressive
  8. brooklynwx99
    GEFS is obscene
  9. brooklynwx99
    NOT advocating for this kind of solution but it is kinda eerie how similar these are almost the exact same ridge/trough alignment
  10. brooklynwx99
    can’t ask for much better at this range
  11. brooklynwx99
    can’t really ask for much better at this range
  12. brooklynwx99
    EPS is much more amplified
  13. brooklynwx99
    might not have gotten it done this run, but this is much better really nice 00z suite. improvements all around
  14. brooklynwx99
    yeah, this is much better
  15. brooklynwx99
    ECMWF has more stream interaction
  16. brooklynwx99
    definitely more interaction now
  17. brooklynwx99
    should be a bit better, higher EC heights and more stream interaction
  18. brooklynwx99
    GEPS looks much better
  19. brooklynwx99
    GEFS has much more stream interaction
  20. brooklynwx99
    the end result isn’t a hit, but this is as much of a positive change as you can really see inside of five days
  21. brooklynwx99
    GFS is much improved
  22. brooklynwx99
    this is much improved
  23. brooklynwx99
    GFS really looks improved NS more amped, SS not getting as trapped
  24. brooklynwx99
    much more confluence as opposed to 18z thanks to more phasing of the ocean storm with the TPV early on… let’s see where this goes
  25. brooklynwx99
    to put this into perspective, the OP GFS has the low much farther west than the farthest west GEFS member… which is already an outlier the vast majority of the tracks are near perfect, and it seems as if the real threat to this storm is a missed phase over the Rockies ala the ICON
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