brooklynwx99
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99
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what do you even say to this? would be 3-4”/hr rates at 15F and 60 mph gusts
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this is absolutely unreal.
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I am in shock. if the ECMWF even ticks west, the metro may actually have a legitimate shot of seeing major (12+) totals
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I'm feeling good about this one. the trends are undeniable, and the GEFS/GFS finally caved in a big way. coupled with the nice shifts from the NAM/RGEM as well as the 12z EPS, I am becoming increasingly optimistic for a more high-end solution for the metro as of now, I agree with Upton, around 6-10" looks good. but the potential for more is rearing its head a bit more now
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NAM looks great so far. initial disturbance is much improved
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everything on the ECMWF is improved -
the NAM is nothing like the 18z as expected, was just a hiccup earlier both streams are more favorable
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EPS is way amped. unreal
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EPS is way amped, not what I expected at all
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noooooo most of them are great! only a select few who pop in here every now and then with 312hr torch progs lmao
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hey man, I will never be the bearer of bad news. leave that to the NYC trolls
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ECMWF looks better here. S disturbance not as held back and the NS is a touch stronger
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the GEFS actually improved pretty nicely at 250/500mb
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GEFS improved as well. pretty notable changes at 250 and 500 heights are higher everywhere downstream as well. the TPV issue isn't there
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GFS is improved with both pieces in the same way as the RGEM
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the RGEM actually looks improved with both the southern and northern vorts, as it progresses the S piece faster and it has the N piece more meridionally oriented. would lead to a cleaner phase didn't translate to the surface, but that's not very important
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the ECMWF has a more favorably oriented NS vort that’s more meridional than 18z with a negligible change with regards to the southern wave this should phase more efficiently than 18z
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500mb on the ECMWF is much more backed with SE-ly flow, while the GFS remains rather progressive despite the great moves aloft
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ECMWF is fully phasing
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ECMWF going to look even better... initial wave looks more progressive than 18z
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GFS should be an improvement. more zonal out west, look at the wind barbs over Utah
