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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    this is pretty impressive
  2. brooklynwx99
    GEFS is obscene
  3. brooklynwx99
    NOT advocating for this kind of solution but it is kinda eerie how similar these are almost the exact same ridge/trough alignment
  4. brooklynwx99
    can’t ask for much better at this range
  5. brooklynwx99
    can’t really ask for much better at this range
  6. brooklynwx99
    EPS is much more amplified
  7. brooklynwx99
    might not have gotten it done this run, but this is much better really nice 00z suite. improvements all around
  8. brooklynwx99
    yeah, this is much better
  9. brooklynwx99
    ECMWF has more stream interaction
  10. brooklynwx99
    definitely more interaction now
  11. brooklynwx99
    should be a bit better, higher EC heights and more stream interaction
  12. brooklynwx99
    GEPS looks much better
  13. brooklynwx99
    GEFS has much more stream interaction
  14. brooklynwx99
    the end result isn’t a hit, but this is as much of a positive change as you can really see inside of five days
  15. brooklynwx99
    GFS is much improved
  16. brooklynwx99
    this is much improved
  17. brooklynwx99
    GFS really looks improved NS more amped, SS not getting as trapped
  18. brooklynwx99
    much more confluence as opposed to 18z thanks to more phasing of the ocean storm with the TPV early on… let’s see where this goes
  19. brooklynwx99
    to put this into perspective, the OP GFS has the low much farther west than the farthest west GEFS member… which is already an outlier the vast majority of the tracks are near perfect, and it seems as if the real threat to this storm is a missed phase over the Rockies ala the ICON
  20. brooklynwx99
    to put this into perspective, the OP GFS has the low much farther west than the farthest west GEFS member… which is already an outlier the vast majority of the tracks are near perfect, and it seems as if the real threat to this storm is a missed phase over the Rockies ala the ICON
  21. brooklynwx99
    nah, the OP at the same lead time significantly raised heights over New England (look over NH/ME), which helped lead to the farther W track. interesting that the GEFS didn’t buy it whatsoever and actually moved the other way
  22. brooklynwx99
    the GEFS actually has stronger confluent flow over the NE than 12z… this will allow for a farther SE track even if the shortwave is more amplified the GEFS, as a result, shows that the OP remains a significant western outlier. the vast majority of the members are near or just inside the BM. even the most W members aren’t really close to PA where the OP had it
  23. brooklynwx99
    as expected, given the stronger confluence, the OP GFS is a significant western outlier compared to the GEFS
  24. brooklynwx99
    looks like the GEFS actually increased the confluent flow over the NE, this is great to see the vort itself is stronger as well. confluence will almost always exert itself more than a shortwave, so a mixture of both would still result in a more favorable track the majority of the time
  25. brooklynwx99
    EPS is absolutely gorgeous
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