RyanDe680

Decent pullback in the chances for storms this coming weekend.  

Environment looks meh.  Saturday looks like best bet

On 6/16/2020 at 3:55 PM, Hoosier said:

7 day rolling average of US deaths/day is currently about 750.  Models drop the daily average down to about 600-650 before plateauing and then starting to rise again late summer into fall.

I do think we are in a better place than when we started in terms of understanding this virus and how to try to treat it.  Not rushing to intubate, remdesivir, and now this news out of the UK of a steroid drug having some positive effect, etc.  Hopefully we can get the deaths lower than projected.  

Could any of that be due to virus mutation as well?  I agree that the lowering death rate is encouraging and most likely due to understanding it more - ie, the effects on the blood vs. primarily a respiratory disease.

Just back from the panhandle of FL, and I gotta say, crap ton of rain....  And the main stuff was still to the west.

I gotta say, I am loving this 90 and dews in the upper 60s

34 minutes ago, Stebo said:

It is the people who don't want to wear a mask and don't want to take a test causing the delays in opening. They are careless egotistical assholes.

 +1  

The only reason that the national numbers have plateaued is because New York is in decline while the rest of the country seems to be stable to increasing. 
 

well. Excluding South Carolina of course. 

45 minutes ago, snowlover2 said:

Just saw this on FB from Eric Elwell(well respected met in Ohio). He says it was from west WI today and appears to be an upside down funnel.

That’s just how it goes in 2020.  

That elevated quickly 

18 minutes ago, CoalCityWxMan said:

Could be a big day possibly. No morning convection to ruin things for once 

Yes finally. That has destroyed the last few opportunities we had recently.  

9 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:

Still in FL on vacation. Had another severe t’storm roll through this evening...the second one on this trip.






.

Driving down to FL sometime next week for x number of days too.  Need a change of pace.  I love severe afternoon storms in FL heat. I’m headed to Destin.  Where is this?

Let’s try to get excited about a marginal threat tomorrow. 

Interesting.  Found this from a friend.  
 

https://www.nationalreview.com/2020/05/coronavirus-crisis-ron-desantis-florida-covid-19-strategy/

9 minutes ago, nwohweather said:

And I laugh at the fact your governor is telling you what you can and can’t buy at the store meanwhile I can go eat BBQ with the guys after golf league.

Hoosier, it’s not that I’m a longtime resident, it’s that I’ve experienced this entire event in South Carolina and can not relate at all to what you guys are. It might not rain gold here but hey at least we don’t have 5000 dead like Michigan. Heck we haven’t even hit 10,000 cases yet.

Which goes back to most of my posts, it’s shocking to see how scared you guys are of this and my relatives are as well. Other than working from home my life really hasn’t changed which shows just how much more effective warmer weather is at stopping the spread

South Carolina is #30 in terms of cases.  They are also #29 in terms of testing out of 30.  Maybe the state needs to test more.  

Anticipating warmth and humidity this weekend. 

Just now, Hoosier said:

lol, I was kinda smiling as I typed it.  He posts about the Midwest as if he's some longtime resident of the south and he's been in SC for what, 10 minutes?  Just a little funny.   

LOL. Solid follow up

On 5/20/2020 at 7:12 PM, Chambana said:

A much  needed sense of normalcy coming for Illinois residents, as bars and restaurants can allow outside dining with social distancing rules in place May 29th.  What I fear is the “second wave” of this during the fall months when flu season ramps back up. 
 

 

The problem is they no one really knows if this is seasonal or not. 

23 hours ago, Hoosier said:

Is that really the case?  The covid fatality rate seems to be lower than flu for the younger age groups (0-20, and maybe 21-39) but higher than flu for the older ages.  I suppose it would be trickier to sort out if you only look at deaths of "healthy" people.  If you are 5 pounds overweight, does that qualify as a pre-existing condition?

yeah that was my question too.  If a BMI of 30 is considered overweight, then a lot of the population has a 'pre-existing' condition.

8.12” here since Thursday 

You gotta wonder where else this might be going on. 
 

https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/498142-colorado-lowers-coronavirus-death-count-from-more-than-1k-to-878
 

alcohol poisoning counted as Covid?

7 hours ago, IWXwx said:

 

I'm not sure how they picked the areas from which they randomly picked the test subjects, but they did take some demographics into account:

" In the first phase, more than 3,600 people were randomly selected and an additional 900 volunteers were recruited through outreach to the African American and Hispanic communities to more accurately represent state demographics."

yeah that is what would be nice, if the sample represented state demographics....

Nice event - decent amount of lightning with it.

Headed straight for me.  This amp’ed up quick.  

4 hours ago, Hoosier said:

So based on those numbers above and where the death toll stood on May 1, here is what a near worst case scenario for Indiana could look like.  I say near because it assumes basically everything goes wrong on the treatment/vaccine front but does NOT assume the hospitals get overloaded at any point, resulting in excess mortality rates. 

Let's say 70% of the state gets infected before an effective vaccine or a really good therapeutic that knocks down the death rate in a major way.  That could result in nearly 30,000 deaths, unless the high risk population can be protected a lot better than they have been up to this point.  Let's hope it doesn't get to that point.  There is a lot of work being done on the treatment and vaccine front, so have to be cautiously optimistic that something will come along.

How populated were the areas of the testing?

1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said:

Might have said this too soon...We'll see.

Yeah I'd stick with your lunchtime call.

6 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

Can probably toss this now for the most part.

Looks like any training with excessive totals will now be more isolated/localized...instead of more widespread as it looked earlier.

I dunno.  Pretty stout cluster in Iowa and development near PIA.  Could be enough stability.