tim123

3 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

? So the 13:1 ratios you are claiming ARE verification that the Kuchera maps were wrong, as Rochester didn't get the 15 to 20 inches they were showing. You're arguing yourself into a hole.

They got 13.1 north closer to the lake got 16. Are we splitting hairs. 

20 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

ROC Climate data for the 2 days.  Weighting the ratios  based on % of total precip each day yields net ratio of 11.9:1.   SYZ was 9.9:1 using same method for those days combined. 

Average 12 to one ya yahoo. If you look back i said ratios would be more 12 13 to 1. Not 10 to one for entire event. Good god. I mentioned that and tombo was freaking out thinking I was crazy. 

2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

 You have to know the appropriate setting for sharing them. Kuchera can easily verify with Lake effect opportunities. It's not wise to use them for synoptic events, unless we are talking Alberta Clippers in a cold, clipper pattern.

I know. Areas that got lake enhanced verified. 

6 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Gives a little bit of interest in what appears to be quite a boring weather week.

GFS advertising a nice, extended period of lake effect for the belts...especially those of us near Lake Ontario, starting over the weekend into next week.

 

Hey now be careful with those Kuchera maps. 

Just now, TugHillMatt said:

 

Correction: You both do. lol

Hey I get it I give it.

2 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

roch airport measured 1.11 qpf with 13.1 snow, avg 11.8-1 ratio. buffalo had 1.02 qpf with 9.7 snow for a 9.7 total, thats 10.5-1 ratio. This is through midnight last night. Where are you getting these 15/16-1 avgs? Even @DeltaT13 said those maps are wrong and he lives in the same county as you. 

Wrong county

7 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Oh, shut up. You and Syrmax can go on a trip together and bask your hairy legs in the equatorial heat and sunlight of a tropical island. Haaaaaaave fuuuuuuuuuuuun! And may a Lake Erie Death Band rip and roar over the Hamburger in your absence!

Syrmax likes drizzle in snowstorms

System snow was 10to 12 to 1.  3rd wave was 20 to 1 lake effect higher. So average was 15 16 to 1. Just like what kuchra showed.

8 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

this is lake effect, which verifies, no doubt. It's the synoptic event in which they did not verify, where numerous people have pointed out to you 

For the total out put for entire storm no your wrong

3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

And ratios at 40-50/1 lol

And you guys laugh when I point out high ratios. Smh. Not you wolfie just some others on here. 

1 hour ago, DeltaT13 said:

They only verified for less than 10 percent of our area. There are better maps to use.  I ended up with 12”, basically spot on the 10:1 forecast. If I went by a kuchera map, then my forecast busted by nearly 50 percent in my backyard.  

Arws where a bit high but not rgem or euro or gfs with ratios. 

Got a 1.5 of cotton balls last night. Total was 15. Kuchera did well. Most ratio maps had 12 to 16. Not 8 to 10 like the standard 10 to 1  maps had. 

23 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

You and Syrmax need to

 

 

Thats him when its raining out in a snowstorm. 

32 minutes ago, 96blizz said:

They weren’t at all- at least here. 

It’s easily 18” at this point all in and still pouring snow. 

Lesson learned…

Don't listen to drizzle boy. 

14 minutes ago, 96blizz said:

Buried and still pouring snow despite the radar look. 

Seems like those kuchera maps aren't so dumb. 

Officially 13.1 at rochester. Have clawed our way to normal snowfall for season after being down close to 20 inches in begining of january.

1 hour ago, vortmax said:

Band starting up... In the wrong county. Lol

Wrf 2 lake connection into ithica? Nice finger lake enhancement. I'm where the white dot is in Wayne county.

Just now, 96blizz said:

Bullseye. 3-4” more and we will be at 16-17”.

Sorta like those Kuchera outputs… 

Um yeah. Don't tell drizzle boy. 

1 minute ago, vortmax said:

Someone definitely reaching 20" along the lake shore. It's been non-stop here all day and most due to synoptic w/LE. 

Thank you for the back up. That one dude in syracuse is a blowhard. Lol

Just now, tim123 said:

I said come tomorrow morning totals will be 12 to 20. With added lake snow.

There where areas of enhanced snow because of that big body of water to our north.

2 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

Really.  This isn't Mt. Tolland. ROC 10-12", I'm buying that. The 14" in Wayne (per NWS PNS) and 20" in eastern Monroe (CoCoRaHS) ctys as of this a.m.? Not so much. 

I said come tomorrow morning totals will be 12 to 20. With added lake snow.

1 minute ago, DeltaT13 said:

I should be right around 12-13”. I’ll update when I get home. 

One more synoptic burst coming in. The lake snow. I think north of thruway most of county gets a couple inches. Maybe 4 or 5 webster penfield walworth area.

Looks like one more synoptic burst then on to lake snow for south shore. Seeing 2 to locally 6 inches 

2 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

Noone seeing 20" in those counties wtf.

We all don't rain in snowstorms bro

Just now, Syrmax said:

Noone seeing 20" in those counties wtf.

Dude reports of 14 in Marion 13 in Greece and that was this morning. Most areas have picked up a couple more today. Then add lake snow