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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Might be a good attempt but it doesn’t get there At least to me it doesn’t look like it but I probably called it too early
  2. NorthArlington101
    the slowest 1-2” ever, but we technically get there
  3. NorthArlington101
    July 29th severe storms probably take the cake… standing out on my balcony and filming a microburst/power flashes. More trees down in the very localized area than I saw during the derecho. Close 2nd place to the wildfire smoke just for uniqueness and duration.
  4. NorthArlington101
    it doesn't get there but appreciate seeing 3 smart posters in a row saying they like the trend
  5. NorthArlington101
    Very light snow at 138
  6. NorthArlington101
    Yep - things are getting gathered up to our S at 132.
  7. NorthArlington101
    there is at least a pity trace Monday morning
  8. NorthArlington101
    The NAM at this range is probably about as good as the Mark Model https://x.com/meteomark/status/1745163993893765438?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg
  9. NorthArlington101
    Median for next Tues/Weds Mean
  10. NorthArlington101
    10:1 Kuchera [emoji102]
  11. NorthArlington101
    If it’s still going at 162 it might actually be an uncomplicated 3-5”
  12. NorthArlington101
    WxBell has an uncomplicated 2-4”
  13. NorthArlington101
    caveats that a snow mean isn't everything, etc etc, but EPS has been going the wrong way for the 16th/17th. Still a ways to go. lot of suppressed stuff
  14. NorthArlington101
    DC and BWI break an inch verbatim #winning
  15. NorthArlington101
    It’s all been downhill from there then
  16. NorthArlington101
    pull it for DCA. It won’t look as good but it’ll still be alright. EPS mean was the best all year at 12z. One could look on the bright side or one could say it’s all downhill
  17. NorthArlington101
    I think everyone feels that way, honestly
  18. NorthArlington101
    Staring at the big turf field out my window and wondering if it might go underwater. Looks ~20% there
  19. NorthArlington101
    what if it all was snow?
  20. NorthArlington101
    It's also not a "false flag" in terms of temps. 850s look similar - little worse.
  21. NorthArlington101
    to illustrate this further... this is a NUTS median for 8 days out. This might be the highest it's been on the EPS period this year. and it was a big jump up from 00z
  22. NorthArlington101
    Not a lot of suppressed options. I'd say genuine camp of "wins" vs. cutters.
  23. NorthArlington101
    verbatim - Kuchera a lot worse than the 10:1
  24. NorthArlington101
    it's close - dc firmly in the mixy zone again.
  25. NorthArlington101
    Also, I know there are more to the ENS than the snow maps, but the EPS mean is honking fairly hard for this range. Doesn't show up well on the median, but that's not shocking at range.
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