NorthArlington101

@high risk how do we feel about the HREF? Asking for a friend.

https://x.com/miketfox5/status/1758691887609733631?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg

HREF still looks good. We like that one, right?

It’s a 1-3” storm most likely at this point. Anything more than that is gravy. Bar lowered to 1.5”.

Why not just a total precip map?

22z RAP gives DC

Let’s do this neighbor!

44/17 in 22207. Not bad

1 minute ago, Imgoinhungry said:

What time should i set my alarm to get up and take a walk in two inch per hour snowfall?


.

I'm gonna try 1am. Maybe a little earlier where you are at. It's a 3-hour storm 

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Same, but GFS being off on an island on it's own is 

i've lowered my bar from 3" to 2". I pray I don't have to lower it any further

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Looks like a hold with the above posted caveat

 

sold. buy. all in. 

at least it's NORTH arlington

is that a trend or noise? Seems like every model runs goes up and then goes back down a bit

1 minute ago, paulythegun said:

at least it's NORTH arlington

you may joke... but the difference between the horrific urban snow environment of Crystal City and the Minor Hill (foothills) are vast.  

Just now, snowfan said:

Collect yourself @NorthArlington101. Be strong. 

I've got a lot riding on this one. A 6 way parlay of overs from Charlottesville to NYC. 

Just now, Deck Pic said:

I don't like the kuchera maps for this.  Better to come up with a predicted liquid amount and work from there.

psu wants the kuchera maps, you don't want the kuchera maps, chuck is posting snow depth... what's a guy who's only contribution is posting maps to do? either way it's drier... hate to be a deb but drier. 

18z

12z

Just now, T. August said:

3k is warm… 33° during the heaviest for the cities. 

thank whatever you believe in this is overnight. Would be infuriating during the day

2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

3k is quite a bit better than the 12k - at least for me 

It looks a lot like it's last run but drier. At least we get raked for a few hours. This all basically falls in a 3-hour span

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

eh... maybe just drier. Apologies for the miscall. 

10:1


Kuchera

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

12k NAM is north and drier  

eh... maybe just drier. Apologies for the miscall. 

12k NAM is north and drier  

16 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

lol. Sleet fest 

i was asking for the clown maps so i could see that hilarious gradient 

WxBell has it as rain or what must be very wet snow... no sleet

did anyone post the FV3 hi-res earlier? 

43 minutes ago, Wxtrix said:

it’s automated

well then I'm glad the automated tool that did well in January is beefing up! But good to know, seriously.