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NorthArlington101

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Posts posted by NorthArlington101

  1. This is where I'm at right now, attitude-wise. I planned "to the hilt" in 2017, for a mere PARTIAL eclipse, to set up my tripod and cameras in the backyard to do time lapse pics of that event...only to have a thunderhead form LITERALLY 5 minutes ahead of the partial eclipse, and obscure most of the "festivities" that day. I'll probably be way too old to care, let alone know, that the next major eclipse is happening (in the 2070's, right?)...so I've got my solar filter for my phone for whatever happens Monday, and I'm happy to take pics of that. 

    2045! Perks of being young is that I can always try that one (fingers crossed) if I bail out of this one.
    • Haha 1
  2. We just made the call to abandon NY. Got a place in NH 20 mins outside the path of totality and will drive to see it. We are in Long Island for a family thing and will head up in the morning. 

    Yeah, I’ve been noticing places just outside the path of totality have higher prices but the gouging isn’t crazy bad. Considering getting a place 80% of the way there, stay overnight Sunday, and finish the drive Monday so it’s not too painful.

    As you can probably tell I’ve had a lot of ideas lol but hardly a fleshed out plan. Not a good sign
  3. Looks increasingly poor for Niagara Falls unfortunately. Might try Monday morning to drive from our rental to the Syracuse area if it looks better. 

    My litmus test has been, do I have a better than 50/50 shot anywhere within 6 hours or so?

    Gonna rely on Tomer’s tool for cities (linked below) tomorrow and make a final call around this time. Increasingly likely my chase partner (girlfriend) ditches me tomorrow lol so I kinda don’t want to solo if it’s a tough call.

    http://arctic.som.ou.edu/tburg/products/realtime/eclipse/
  4. 18z ticked the middle clouds further SW, low clouds still not a factor... just super aggressive with the high clouds, despite being a bit drier at 18z. I'm fully onboard the "GFS overdoes clouds, especially thin high ones" hopium train at this point... Here's the GEFS cloud thickness, if it was just the 18z and not time lagged it would probably be a few points higher in most places. Worse for WNY but not as much as the op verbatim clouds would suggest. Hopefully that projected thinness comes through.
    blockedinsol_tle_2-mean.conus.png?cb=713806

    It’s better than nothing, but can you see the corona through high clouds? Or is it just easier to see it go dark?
  5. Things have gotten a bit better for western NY over the last day. We were up in the 60s for cloud cover on NBM and it’s back down into the upper 40s/low 50s as it oscillates back and forth. I’d gamble with that. 

    Almost more fun than snow tracking. Also fun to keep perusing random PA/NY towns to figure out which small town I’d camp in for day.

    Dewittville? Sure why not
    • Like 1
  6. Euro and GFS ops now both have precip for Erie/Cleveland.  That was gonna be my target.  I'd hate to drive hours out there with 2 young kids and have clouds.  I'm hoping for either a clear cut sunny day forecast or clear clouds.  50/50 is gonna be a tough call.

    Not looking forward to making the call on Sunday. Room for things to change back but things looked much better a few days ago. Karma for rooting for Texas’ downfall lol.
  7. ah my young friend - even though that happened, you can NEVER root for Dook (unless they are playing an SEC team).

    I’m okay with NC State beating Duke. They can go no further though.

    as a UVA grad of my generation, our rivalry is

    VT > Duke > UNC > everyone else

    and you’d make a compelling argument to stick JMU in the mix if we could play them more… think it would be good to get them in the commonwealth clash mix somehow.
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