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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. welp, family vacay has officially been moved up to start Sunday to dodge the Monday event. Time to shove all my chips onto the nothingburger this Friday/Saturday
  2. What idiot made this thread? Jokes aside - not an inspiring 6z. Couldn’t carry the momentum. We’ll see what real models (the NAM) bring as this enters that range today.
  3. It would be the best member of the GEPS by about a factor of 4 too. Idk. If it was any model but the EURO. See what the next spin of the cycle brings.
  4. That’s a narrow stripe but yep, great run. Lots of fun still to happen!
  5. Since the CMC was sneaky good for 1/3-4 I made a separate thread. It's been trending the right way, much to people's possible annoyance for our 1/6-7 storm.
  6. I was as well - just barely pulls something out. Subtracting what falls this Fri/Sat...
  7. You know what, F&#% it. This could be our best shot at snow over the next two weeks for all we know. Make a thread or die trying - this is out of the M/LR anyway. CMC, GFS, and ICON going the right way at 00z. Ens slowly but steadily been trending better on all suites. 00z CMC has been the best run in a while so it will kick us off. Good luck! @mods - feel free to rename to whatever feels appropriate.
  8. main MSLP also really is down in Alabama/Mississippi -- would be one thing if it could turn up the coast... need a cuttier-but-also-suppressed storm. A little too thread the needle for how we often win
  9. We’ve got literally nothing else to look at or do. We’re sickos. Heck, @clskinsfanjust admitted he checked out the 48th hour of the 00z HRRR just for kicks for flurries nobody is even tracking. If we didn’t check the models and post them every 6 hours we’d have nothing to talk about. All that would be left is sports banter and beer pictures. Maybe that would be better…
  10. It’s closer on Jan. 8 though, at least. Some solace for a weary group.
  11. I like to redirect people to the article published by the ECMWF - I'm sure there is also more in-depth literature published somewhere for the real nerds.
  12. AI Euro is a respectable snowstorm - this should be all snow Fredericksburg and north.
  13. I think we say this every year and never do but we really should consider taking the CMC just as seriously as the GFS if not more
  14. This is true - but will warn that the EPS is increasingly looking the same way. Week(s) to go - but be aware!
  15. modest, emphasis on modest, improvement on 12z EURO. Dusting for SE MD and the Tidewater.
  16. EURO is crawling this morning. Must be loading the double HECS
  17. We'll see what the EURO/EPS does... I've liked what we've done this year and made threads about 2 days out for the dusting-2" events. If discussion gets too clogged between our shots on the 4th/6th/10th(?) it makes sense.
  18. Speaking of not giving up until the shorter-range, I'll keep beating the Jan. 4 drum. ICON ens (as I understand it, a fork of the EPS) took about a ~200m jump to the NE. Still got 5 days.
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