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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. almost got it within 10 days but unfortunately it looks mostly like sleet. next.
  2. Guess we might need a LR thread soon, but the GFS has consistently been throwing out some pretty serious cold for this time of year around Halloween.
  3. the surface maps are great, was shocked not to see this map. it's good to be back <3
  4. anyone with the GEFS? I bet one member shows a nice snow storm with this hurricane.
  5. i need the ensembles to fuel my digital snow addiction, unfortunately. I get my money back in entertainment alone.
  6. I've started checking the models daily for fantasy snow, considering re-upping the subscription to WeatherBell... winter is coming
  7. BWI: 11/5 IAD: 10/30 DCA: 11/6 RIC: 11/6 TB: 84F
  8. You’re the expert but I’m not seeing it. Regardless, super threatening circulation.
  9. Storm coming into Annapolis has some of the best rotation of the day on it.
  10. It’s so close to the radars that I can’t tell how legit it is. Certainly looks good from TDCA and TBWI.
  11. It’s just casual analysis, tbh I don’t know what I’m talking about. I tried to word it carefully... we obviously want certain conditions to happen but I don’t think we’ve ever had a lock on it three months out. We don’t usually have a lock on it two weeks out. Smarter people then me can look at the super long range models and see good signs but IMO it’s not worth worrying about.
  12. LR winter analysis is a slight step above astrology, IMO. You can definitely identify warning flags, but we are just so reliant on flukes during winter that it’s hardly worth grumbling about/taking anything too seriously. Love the thread and the work though.
  13. Pretty close to my place down in Charlottesville... hope the house is fine! Storms definitely have some juice in them today.
  14. Maybe a hook? Lines up with a little bit of broad rotation. jk that lasted only one frame
  15. This first storm was not for us... though I’m enjoying the distance rumbles of thunder.
  16. Starting to look like we have legit initiation around the Beltway.
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