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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. It’s just casual analysis, tbh I don’t know what I’m talking about. I tried to word it carefully... we obviously want certain conditions to happen but I don’t think we’ve ever had a lock on it three months out. We don’t usually have a lock on it two weeks out. Smarter people then me can look at the super long range models and see good signs but IMO it’s not worth worrying about.
  2. LR winter analysis is a slight step above astrology, IMO. You can definitely identify warning flags, but we are just so reliant on flukes during winter that it’s hardly worth grumbling about/taking anything too seriously. Love the thread and the work though.
  3. Pretty close to my place down in Charlottesville... hope the house is fine! Storms definitely have some juice in them today.
  4. Maybe a hook? Lines up with a little bit of broad rotation. jk that lasted only one frame
  5. This first storm was not for us... though I’m enjoying the distance rumbles of thunder.
  6. Starting to look like we have legit initiation around the Beltway.
  7. something slowly going up N of McLean. Looks like something might be popping up over Mount Rainer too. Let’s see if these can take off.
  8. Outflow boundary from the storm is seriously gusty. Looks like I’m getting fringed though.
  9. I’ve had sun in N Arlington for 20-30 minutes. 63/44
  10. yeah, this one hurt a little bit. We got jipped pretty hard. Just heard a decent crack of thunder, at least. lol, a small cell just popped up overhead. I'll take the consolation prize.
  11. Maybe the cell south of Warrenton has a chance. Will eventually be moving into sunny areas where I’m assuming parameters have rebounded.
  12. Velocity. Everything should look red or green, pretty much.
  13. Slightly suspicious kink in the line west of Stephens City.
  14. hmmm... I probably would’ve continued that TOR warning in the northern suburbs of Baltimore. Rotation has weakened, though.
  15. Rotation W of Montclair, VA tightened up this frame
  16. Hard to tell but I think I see some rotation SSE of Paw Paw.
  17. https://m.facebook.com/notes/wxriskcom/major-alert-easter-sunday-looks-dangerous/2881339375246635/ Looks like an interesting period of severe WX!
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