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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    I got it being 50 degrees at DCA at 162 - at 168 the only place its snowing is right in the middle of the heaviest stuff in SE VA/ENC. Prob not worth parsing the details but I'm not seeing anything other than rain FWIW Pivotal maps are rain too - it's light stuff
  2. NorthArlington101
    WxBell maps don't make it look like it's snowing over us (FWIW) but yeah, looks suppressed. Someone left the oven on for this run - super toasty at the surface
  3. NorthArlington101
    Watching the EURO's performance for SNE this weekend is telling of its recent fallibility. Was showing an 18"+ storm 2 days ago. This current run is showing it grazing the region (2-4"). Tough to forecast.
  4. NorthArlington101
    12z EURO places a nice stripe just south of the District. Even has the NMD band as well. Temps are marginal but I imagine it would be pretty.
  5. NorthArlington101
    That's what the GFS says we are getting tomorrow.
  6. NorthArlington101
    Would be a nice event. Fingers crossed the Euro gets a little more enthused.
  7. NorthArlington101
    The 00z EPS was a step in the right duration to my eyes but hardly looks like that great 06z GEFS that was just posted. At least the Canadian ens are right in the middle and looks fairly decent - 2-3” area-wide.
  8. NorthArlington101
    No overnight activity here but things still generally look good for T-1” for many. Could end up being the best event of the season if temps cooperate as it looks like they might. Too bad it’s #sunangleseason though.
  9. NorthArlington101
    UKIE puts the 1-1.5” over the Beltway and East. Decent stuff tonight thus far
  10. NorthArlington101
    Not at all - getting shellacked at 195. Faster storm and rain to snow.
  11. NorthArlington101
    Deserves to be mocked, but it’s also it’s best run for the system yet. Sad state of affairs
  12. NorthArlington101
    Didn’t you see the SREF plumes above? It’s never looked better [emoji6]
  13. NorthArlington101
    Nothing worth dissecting on the 18z EURO. Next
  14. NorthArlington101
  15. NorthArlington101
    might be the best 24hr mean of the season. Can’t hurt.
  16. NorthArlington101
    When WxBell tries to filter out the sleet/FRZA it looks like less dramatic of a “miss.” Agree with all the comments about not minding it being south, though.
  17. NorthArlington101
    We’re all but out of GEFS range but they moistened up. 1” mean around DC. Hoping I can bring this thread home like the early Feb “storm.” Best of luck, everyone.
  18. NorthArlington101
    made a thread, so apologies in advance.
  19. NorthArlington101
    With some decent consensus between the GFS/NAM/CMC/EURO for flakes, maybe even measurable snow Saturday, figured I’d spread this out from discussion on our longer range looks. Sorry if this thread kills things entirely!
  20. NorthArlington101
    thread?
  21. NorthArlington101
    Great analysis, thanks. My analysis following yesterday's 18z runs was to look at hotels around Boston -- pretty cheap!
  22. NorthArlington101
    Yep, threw that out earlier. Some nice members in there, which is a good shift from earlier runs. Long way to go to get everyone involved but we’ve got 5 days to have that transfer happen further south.
  23. NorthArlington101
    What interests me a bit in the GEFS is a shift in our direction for the storm on the 28th. Hail Mary for sure, but a handful of interesting members.
  24. NorthArlington101
    I'm a big believer in the idea that winters will be more boom or bust going forward. Don't think it'll be close to a 50/50 split of boom/bust, maybe closer to 20/80, but enough killer years could end up causing a positive trend even if the intersnowy years suck.
  25. NorthArlington101
    Don't look at the 12z EURO if Boston snowfalls rub you the wrong way. They get slammed on the 28th.
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