radarman

We water and cover and hope for the best. Point and click has 27 here, which would be less than ideal but we may be able to withstand it. Much lower and we'll be starting over.

Lets hope that freeze watch is a bust thx. I know... should not have planted sensitive stuff this early.

Nice well mixed breezy afternoon keeps them at bay.

Will this be 18 straight days of BN highs for many?

Good day to have a brush fire before the burn bans start. Otherwise fairly unpleasant.

That cell SW of the metroplex headed generally toward Stephenville is a beast.

Agree. Very overcast and showery right now. SPC meso discussion mentioned that gravity waves may help disturb the stratus, but not before the incoming stuff from the NW arrives. I guess if there is a window for strong surface based convection you'd have to hope for the MCS to continue to deflect NE and maybe leave an OFB somewhere near I20, then clear out later on for a couple hours. I dunno though.

Miller B right on time?

Stowe has a gondola that crosses the parking lot between Spruce and Mansfield base lodges

Got more from that event than any event this year

At Killington Bear and Needles eye were overcast, Superstar socked in at the top, while Ramshead and Snowden baked in the sun. This lasted the entire day.

Dang you got 3" of rain from that? Wow

One pretty good rumble just now. Garden variety stuff but the breeze feels nice.

That radar loop is nuts especially at the end

Good sized fire in BTown also

Fixable problems

summit chair laps on Mt Ellen

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 021822Z - 022015Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT SUMMARY...SUPERCELLS WITH A RISK FOR ALL HAZARDS MAY DEVELOP AS EARLY AS MID AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTH TX, INTO SOUTHERN OK. A TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SOON TO COVER THE THREAT. DISCUSSION...ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, AFTERNOON WV IMAGERY SHOWED A WELL-DEVELOPED, COMPACT VORT MAX TRANSITING ACROSS FAR WEST TX AND EASTERN NM. AHEAD OF THE VORT MAX, RAPID LOW-LEVEL SURFACE MOISTURE RETURN WAS EVIDENT ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTH TX WITH DEWPOINTS SURGING FROM THE LOW TO MID 50S TO MID 60S F OVER THE LAST 1-2 HOURS. WITH RAPID MOISTENING AND PARTIAL CLOUD BREAKS ONGOING, CONTINUED DESTABILIZATION (1500-2000 J/KG MLCAPE) IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. VERY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES (8.5-9 C/KM) FROM THE 12Z RAOBS WILL SUPPORT RAPID AND ROBUST UPDRAFT DEVELOPMENT, POTENTIALLY AS EARLY AS 19-20Z. STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR AHEAD OF THE VORT MAX ( 45-60 KT 0-6KM SHEAR) WILL ALLOW FOR STORM ORGANIZATION WITH A PREDOMINATELY SUPERCELLULAR MODE. A SOMEWHAT COMPLEX CONVECTIVE SCENARIO MAY EVOLVE THIS AFTERNOON WITH MULTIPLE AREAS OF NEAR SIMULTANEOUS INITIATION POSSIBLE. CELLS MAY INITIATE WITHIN THE MODIFYING WARM SECTOR NEAR AND TO THE WEST/NORTHWEST OF THE METROPLEX AND FAR SOUTHWEST OK. AT THE SAME TIME, THE DRYLINE IN WEST-CENTRAL TX WILL LIKELY INITIATE A FEW SUPERCELLS AS IT MIXES EASTWARD. HODOGRAPHS, WHILE CURVED IN THE LOWEST 1-2 KM, ARE EXTENDED AND MOSTLY STRAIGHT LINE ALOFT. THIS, ALONG WITH THE FAVORABLE BUOYANCY AND LAPSE RATES STRONGLY SUGGESTS LARGE AND WIND-DRIVEN DAMAGING HAIL WILL BE LIKELY WITH ANY SUSTAINED STORMS. A TORNADO RISK (SOME SIGNIFICANT) MAY ALSO EVOLVE GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR DISCRETE CELLS AND 0-1KM SRH OF 150-200 M2/S2. A LOCALLY GREATER TORNADO RISK MAY ALSO EVOLVE FARTHER EAST WHERE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATER THIS EVENING. GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL SUPERCELLS WITHIN A RAPIDLY MODIFYING AND FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC/KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT, A TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED THIS AFTERNOON. ..LYONS/HART.. 04/02/2023

latest HRRR is eye opening... 3km nam not quite as bullish. Really the only question mark is the strength of the LLJ. April 2nd is a notorious day for severe weather in Dallas.

Cell really intensified fast. Lapse rates ftw. Tons of lightning

Hail here Edit- dimes

Thunder here

Looks like crapvection

Went from 60s sun and blue skies at Berkshire east to low 50s and gloomy fog in Greenfield ftl

Pentathalon crowd at Berkshire East today being rewarded with a well deserved gorgeous afternoon.