USCG RS

Can I vote never? Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

NIce to see you thinking the area is going to receive a nice hit.

Not exactly. It is more that the Ukie and Nam had more interaction with the kicker whereas the Euro seems to only partially interact. Remember, this particular s/w is still over 'No-Mans land' in Canada and is therefore yet to be sampled fully. This particular s/w will have a rather significant impact in regards to sensible weather near the coast, so I would be interested to see how this evolves over the next day or so. Edit- the 'kicker' is still towards the Gulf of Alaska, not quite yet into Canada.

I ain't a betting man but...

Given the present set up, I would agree with you that this is the correct call. That withstanding, I believe there is the potential for some surprises, especially given the energy around and the possibility of the LP closing off. Should this take place, there is the distinct possibility the tri-state area takes a hard hit IMO.

You mean you actually listen when someone who has studied something talks about what they have studied? How could you.

Perhaps he's just being sarcastic? Maybe. Then again, it is Tony... Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

For the record, I can already see Wx Twitter lighting up (and some in this forum ofc)...

Tony, you have almost 40K posts. Not gonna lie, kind of impressed.

RGEM is not quite in its deadly range quite yet

That's kind of funny... I literally retweeted this about 10 hrs ago. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

Tbh - assuming this track verifies - it will depend on how quickly the LP closes off. Sure we torch front end, but of we close off, we crash just as quickly and with the energy involved, these bands can add up quickly. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

In fact, a closed LP south of LI with such a strong HP to the N may actually deliver a pretty good shot of snow. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

Yeah! Anything showing massive snow several days out is always the correct solution, just ask Twitter and Cranky, because he always backs Twitter with that stuff Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

Here's the thing, the reason a mandatory evacuation is ordered is to absolve the responder of the liability associated with said responder not responding when they are called. The other side of that is the fact that a person not evacuating is endangering that same responders life and it is also meant to protect the responder in that way as well. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

First, let Josh be found first. Last I heard, he is still listed as missing. Secondly, to do so creates several issues, mainly which that this amounts to a tax by a United States entity. The founding fathers looked at tax as the ability to kill an individual, so while there are valid points behind the desire for this, there is also legal precedent which would likely disallow this. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

Because on mobile it's hard to see whose who... But a wise suggestion. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

Eh. Nevermind.

If a moderator could contact me regarding an important matter, it would be appreciated. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

Pm me. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

He and I could help. He has the AF exp... I have the meteorology and writing exp Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

My brother is prior AF. What are you looking for? Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

Prayers for your loss. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

The entire tri state area is about to get whacked. Upper levels are plenty cold. The LP is exploding and a bit SE of models, chasing the temp gradient. Likewise, with all the convection down south, you can see how much energy is involved with this storm. NOAA has the entire tri state area in 2+ inch per hour snows for several hours, with "snowfall in excess of 2 inches per hour expected overnight."

NAM actually did best if I recall correctly. The storm was stronger than expected and produced more precip as well. The NAM hinted at this, though it went a bit bonkers (shock, I know). EDIT : Top amounts were around 6-7"