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USCG RS

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Everything posted by USCG RS

  1. USCG RS
    In other words... This weekend storm looks colder. No you did not say that... Just extrapolating. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
  2. USCG RS
    While I agree with you sentiment, here it's about phasing. The Ukie tends to want to phase so the fact its not tells me it should be given a bit more credence. The Euro and GFS are both phasing quickly with the PV. The Ukie is not. Therefore I would not just outright throw it out. Just my two cents. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
  3. USCG RS
    That is true. But with the Ukie tendency to wanna phase... Doing this four times in a row, I would listen to the Ukie Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
  4. USCG RS
    It phases this into a monster and bulldozers it through a weaker HP. The Ukie on the other hand, keeps it weaker and all the precip is strictly gradient driven. Synoptically I'm not buying the Euro Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
  5. USCG RS
    Never gets above. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
  6. USCG RS
    Ty Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
  7. USCG RS
    QPF amounts? Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
  8. USCG RS
    I don't see how a track like that is not pure frozen Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
  9. USCG RS
    Euro is ugly. Looks like a fropa Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
  10. USCG RS
    Nam has always been good with this. Stands to reason being a regional model. But the cold air is underdone. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
  11. USCG RS
    Not that it matters.. But I agree Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
  12. USCG RS
    I agree with you with one caveat.. This cold looks brutal and if the 850s hit 33/34 and temps are in the low 20s.. It could happen. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
  13. USCG RS
    Absolutely. Allows for colder air to bleed further South, thus baroclynicity is pushed further SE. Happens quite a bit in winter with snow cover. LP systems take the path of least resistance and this is where the baroclynic gradient sets up. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
  14. USCG RS
    Yes. I still believe global models are underestimating the cold Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
  15. USCG RS
    Yeah. I need to look at the actual model before replying. My fault Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
  16. USCG RS
    Yet with a 1051 HP to the north... To cut would not make much synoptic sense. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
  17. USCG RS
    From experience.. Globals always underestimate the cold with a HP like this. In turn, this means the baroclynic gradient is likely going to end up further SE. Now there are caveats, but I would hedge my bets on the northeastern corrider setting a good hit from this Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
  18. USCG RS
    850s are likewise cold Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
  19. USCG RS
    A few weeks is March lol Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
  20. USCG RS
    You need h85 to remain SE of LI for this to be a big snow event for LI Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
  21. USCG RS
    Interesting you bring this up, I really had not thought of that.
  22. USCG RS
    We will have another 2 foot / 4 hour snowstorm Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
  23. USCG RS
    I admire your optimism Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
  24. USCG RS
    Yeah even down here it is really coming down
  25. USCG RS
    No love for LI - nice write up to explain your reasoning though
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