USCG RS
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Everything posted by USCG RS
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I agree with you. I was worried about this from the get go and then doubted myself with the confluence. But - like I stated - I originally thought that the Coastal plain would have a hard time taking a strong hit from this. -
The pna continues to forecast going neutral, however, it keeps getting pushed back, and is now looking to potentially do so just after the storm. That withstanding, the negative tilt looks to hurt rather than help the Coastal plain and the amping looks to flood the Coastal plain. Again, I could be - and would gladly be - wrong. But just my two cents.
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I said this on another board. An interior and North hit has made the most sense to me from day one. I know I waivered with confluence... However, I don't believe this is a Coastal plain hit. The pattern hasn't supported it all winter and the Pacific is again flexing its muscles. Combined with LA Nina, I really don't see the Coastal plain taking a hard hit. That withstanding, the big cities - and more specifically - N and W, I expect these areas to take a pretty hard hit. DC and BWI are in the game as well as they will stay west of the LP. Just my opinion. I've eaten plenty of crow before, so I wouldn't mind eating more (sustained me through covid) Lastly, the waters are warm. This will favor a quicker intensification and negative tilt. Likewise, if the storm stalls and the coast takes a prolonged period of easterly winds, this bodes ominously as well.
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Any forecast for the area? Or still too early?
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The upper levels on the 00z Euro do not quite support MSLP. The phase is just a hair off also. I would be interested to see the ensembles and I would say that the Euro is off kilter currently.
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March 12/13/14 Blizzard/Winter Storm/WWA etc
USCG RS replied to Bostonseminole's topic in New England
Yeah even down here it is really coming down
