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USCG RS

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Everything posted by USCG RS

  1. Im sorry to everyone in Raleigh... I know how much this stings. Im still hoping for a miracle for you guys.... maybe the storm blows up a bit more...
  2. https://x.com/ContentWxGuy/status/2017622514646602106?s=20
  3. https://www.ventusky.com/wind-speed-map/10m-above-ground#p=32.6;-75.6;5&t=20260131/0300&w=0xIAb9A9A
  4. I actually was in your neck of the woods last week to escape the non existant ice catastrophe up here. Never been before. Beautiful town.
  5. Remember, get hit by the expensive cars only. Better likelihood at a payout
  6. So with ULL slowing, I wonder if the CAMs are putting that together with a very dry h5 and shearing this out. We already discussed the h5 being dry but h7 being high with regard to RH. But.. I do wonder if the CAMs see the ULL as too slow.. But that wouldn't make synoptic sense because you can see how it's already affecting and being affected by the storm.
  7. At this point, pretty much no one is or has been consistently right.
  8. RGEM is normally a superior model. Unfortunately, I am not well versed enough with this area to say why I would or would not believe the RGEM, but in the NE it was normally pretty deadly from 30hrs and below.
  9. At this point... Btw... We might as well just let the storm play out and see what happens.
  10. I'm a literal risk manager... Two major busts in a row for warning.. Boy who cried wolf... Granted... I'm not cliff diving rn. Also. I've made some big calls and busted in forums before. I just keep my fridge stocked with Crowe and show back up. But some would say I'm a glutten for punishment. And by some I mean all.
  11. If we truly do bust like this... That would be wild
  12. If this were to bust... The public themselves might riot.
  13. Slower *should* help the western areas. More time to pull back West, consolidate and expand.
  14. https://x.com/ContentWxGuy/status/2017383442699190326?s=20
  15. HRRR at 32 hrs is a stretch. It's not always wrong, but it's a short range model designed for really 12-18 hrs out at most. If that look is real, I would not be surprised to see this be pretty dry forum wide. But based on how the storm is already developing, I would say this is not going to develop and be shunted further East like the HRRR appears to be showing.
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