TSSN+
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Everything posted by TSSN+
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We just need a partial phase not full. Grab some of the sw energy but trail some behind as well.
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Actually pretty darn close lol
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Nam has features closer to 18z gfs up to this point
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Now this is just more than notice with the SW now it’s pretty significant difference
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Butterfly effect
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SW already lagging a bit and north stream is a bit more east.
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Think also would change future conditions too. At hour 11 the sw is definitely lagging a bit more
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Most always is the northern stream.
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I hope we don’t have to worry about power outages across a large area. Not even from the storm but the storm plus the brutal cold air for days may tax power grids that already maybe damaged due to the storm.
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Ya hour 6 is probably their range
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Not sure why it was more north with that h5 look it’s not as phased. Interesting stuff
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Ya hope it stops moving nw. I have no interest in freezing rain from this one.
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The ai gfs looked point on to euro/euro ai
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They flying now so I’d think tonight.
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All models going one way to more amped. Gfs heading toward the de amp lol. Better watch out leave any more of that SW behind it becomes a whiff to the south the some the ens had. But clearly I think the gfs is on crack.
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Yes cause it’s so flat. It’s got to be way less qpf than last run too. Even more SW energy left behind. We need the right mix of not too much phase but can’t get it all mostly left back there either.
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One thing not like the other
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Ai was good. Looks to stay mostly snow.
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Pressures little higher over us as well.
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Thru 48 on gfs heights little lower out front.
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Bad how? Most those members missed us to the south so def was not amped on there.
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We can always find a way to fail. We kinda been good at that the last 10 years.
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I feel like models over amp a lot of storms at this range and they slowly start to go the other way closer to the event sometimes. Let’s see if we start to turn back tomorrow. Also that recon data should help.
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Icon doesn’t even make sense. Has the primary in eastern TN and has us mixing to Maryland line. CMC has the primary in Kentucky at same time and it’s still snowing in DC.
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Gross
