Getting a better feeling after that run....The mix here looks to be rates dependent. I'll take my chances with a dynamic system but just 10-20 miles to my west looks to be a prime spot
Subtle changes on the 3k at 850....turns winds to NNE at 00z from roughly OKV to HGR. 12z and 18z still had screaming easterlies all the way back thru WV at this time.
Not a single hourly sounding show any mixing here on that run of the HRRR...
No idea if it has a clue but what does look more likely is a nice thump on the front end.
I agree...Haven't watched a weather forecast on the news for probably 10 years. I watched Tommy T there and besides thinking how much older he looks the graphics and delivery actually brought back memories! lol
Just looked at that cam before checking back in here...looks like the shoulders are starting to cave up there. Ill be taking the back roads home from Frederick here in a bit...
Cherrypicked....
This pattern doesnt look to go anywhere soon...and maybe improve to include some real cold to work with. -EPO joins the party.
Stable looking pattern.