poolz1

Like you said, grasping a little here but the Euro and the GFS have the same ULL entering Cali and trying to make its way across under the ridge. I actually thought the 6z GFS was going to do something with it but the ridge just gets bullied east and squashes it.

The end of the 06z GFS run is how I would hope to see things evolve and seems like a realistic evolution. Not every detail of course. Significant GL block develops, it takes several cutters and NS systems to feed the developing 50/50ish low. Eventually, the vortex trapped under the GL block becomes the dominant low compared to the one in the GOA/west coast. I don't see the GOA low vanishing but with ebbs and flows we get PNA spikes of varying degrees.

Low of 11 and currently 12.

Not enough to coat but a nice mod snow for a few minutes. Blustery, roof blizzards and sideways snow squalls. I like days like today. Looks like a few more coming from the NW. 20/9

2.25" 23/15 Beautiful winter morning.

.25" or so. Mod snow. 33/29

Exactly my thoughts. Getting a system to take a track south of us may be asking a lot but any HP to the north should be a legit airmass.

With such a narrow "win" zone it is going to be tough to please everyone. I'll hug the 18z euro because it is the best run for NW zones so far. Not going to jack out this way, just trying to get in on the action and have if look like winter.

The temp crash during the day Sunday on the euro is pretty impressive. FDK is 32 at 4am and 18 at 1pm with a gusty NW wind.

First single digit temp of the season. Currently 9.6/5 wish we had some snow cover up this way.

I just got to work in Frederick after getting on 340 there by the bridge to Harpers Ferry. One of the worse drives I have had in a while. Bet I saw a dozen accidents.

Well, that warm nose didn't take long at all. To be expected I guess. 100% sleet currently.

Mod snow with good size flakes. Solid coating. 32/28

Same here with a dp of 20. Not a bad airmass but I expect 3-4 degree bump when the clouds roll in. Hoping we can get a few hours of a winter wonderland tomorrow morning.

Solid car and mulch topper. First measurable snow of the season on a gusty southerly wind.